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Serie B

Referee: M Perri

Catanzaro

U U U U U

2–1

Full-time

Brescia

U S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Catanzaro Brescia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,0

Scored

1,7

0,8

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,3

This season — Serie B · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 23%

13%

33%

Points per game

1,1

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

47%

40%

Both score Ø 53%

53%

Average goals

2,3

2,7

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

1,1

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

57% Possession 43%

16 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 3

6 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 2

1 Offside 0

15 Free kicks against 8

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Catanzaro 13. · Brescia 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	15	10	4	1	+19	34
2	Pisa	16	9	5	2	+11	32
3	Spezia	15	8	6	1	+12	30
4	Cremonese	15	7	3	5	+6	24
5	Bari	16	5	9	2	+6	24
6	Cesena	16	6	4	6	+2	22
7	Juve Stabia	16	5	7	4	-2	22
8	Palermo	16	5	6	5	+3	21
9	Cosenza	16	4	8	4	-1	20
10	Brescia	15	5	4	6	-2	19
11	Carrarese	16	5	4	7	-5	19
12	Mantova	16	4	6	6	-4	18
13	Catanzaro	15	2	11	2	+2	17
14	Modena	16	3	8	5	-1	17
15	Sampdoria	15	4	5	6	-2	17
16	Salernitana	16	4	5	7	-6	17
17	Frosinone	16	3	7	6	-9	16
18	Reggiana	15	3	6	6	-4	15
19	Cittadella	15	3	5	7	-11	14
20	Sudtirol	16	4	1	11	-14	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Spezia	7	6	1	0	+9	19
2	Pisa	8	5	3	0	+9	18
3	Cesena	8	5	2	1	+6	17
4	Sassuolo	7	5	1	1	+10	16
5	Carrarese	8	4	3	1	+5	15
6	Mantova	8	4	3	1	+3	15
7	Bari	9	3	5	1	+2	14
8	Modena	8	3	3	2	+3	12
9	Catanzaro	8	2	5	1	+4	11
10	Brescia	8	3	2	3	+1	11
11	Salernitana	8	3	2	3	+0	11
12	Cremonese	7	3	2	2	+0	11
13	Juve Stabia	8	3	2	3	-2	11
14	Cosenza	9	2	4	3	-2	10
15	Palermo	7	2	3	2	+2	9
16	Reggiana	8	2	3	3	-1	9
17	Sampdoria	7	2	2	3	-1	8
18	Frosinone	8	1	5	2	-3	8
19	Sudtirol	8	2	1	5	-7	7
20	Cittadella	7	0	5	2	-3	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	8	5	3	0	+9	18
2	Pisa	8	4	2	2	+2	14
3	Cremonese	8	4	1	3	+6	13
4	Palermo	9	3	3	3	+1	12
5	Spezia	8	2	5	1	+3	11
6	Juve Stabia	8	2	5	1	+0	11
7	Bari	7	2	4	1	+4	10
8	Cosenza	7	2	4	1	+1	10
9	Sampdoria	8	2	3	3	-1	9
10	Cittadella	8	3	0	5	-8	9
11	Brescia	7	2	2	3	-3	8
12	Frosinone	8	2	2	4	-6	8
13	Catanzaro	7	0	6	1	-2	6
14	Reggiana	7	1	3	3	-3	6
15	Salernitana	8	1	3	4	-6	6
16	Sudtirol	8	2	0	6	-7	6
17	Cesena	8	1	2	5	-4	5
18	Modena	8	0	5	3	-4	5
19	Carrarese	8	1	1	6	-10	4
20	Mantova	8	0	3	5	-7	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.