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LaLiga2

Almeria

T S S S S

2–0

Full-time

Burgos

U S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Almeria Burgos

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,7

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

0,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,3

This season — LaLiga2 · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 50%

71%

29%

Points per game

2,2

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

57%

36%

Both score Ø 43%

57%

29%

Average goals

2,7

2,0

Scored

1,9

0,9

Conceded

0,8

1,1

Goal diff per game

+1,1

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

13 Shots 9

7 Shots on target 4

7 Corners 3

15 Free kicks against 11

4 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Almeria 1. · Burgos 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Almeria	14	10	1	3	+16	31
2	Eibar	15	8	4	3	+4	28
3	Las Palmas	15	7	6	2	+7	27
4	Ponferradina	15	7	5	3	+6	26
5	Valladolid	15	7	4	4	+4	25
6	Tenerife	14	7	3	4	+7	24
7	Sp Gijon	15	6	4	5	+0	22
8	Oviedo	15	4	8	3	+1	20
9	Malaga	14	5	5	4	-2	20
10	Zaragoza	15	3	10	2	+1	19
11	Ibiza	14	4	7	3	-1	19
12	Cartagena	14	6	1	7	-3	19
13	Girona	14	5	3	6	-1	18
14	Mirandes	15	5	3	7	-3	18
15	Huesca	15	4	5	6	+0	17
16	Lugo	15	3	7	5	-2	16
17	Burgos	14	4	4	6	-2	16
18	Fuenlabrada	15	3	7	5	-2	16
19	Sociedad B	14	3	5	6	-3	14
20	Leganes	15	3	5	7	-4	14
21	Amorebieta	15	2	7	6	-4	13
22	Alcorcon	15	2	2	11	-19	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Las Palmas	8	6	2	0	+10	20
2	Malaga	7	5	2	0	+6	17
3	Almeria	6	5	1	0	+8	16
4	Eibar	7	5	1	1	+5	16
5	Ponferradina	8	4	3	1	+6	15
6	Sp Gijon	7	5	0	2	+3	15
7	Valladolid	7	4	2	1	+6	14
8	Cartagena	6	4	0	2	+4	12
9	Lugo	8	3	3	2	+1	12
10	Burgos	7	3	2	2	+4	11
11	Girona	8	3	2	3	+1	11
12	Oviedo	8	2	5	1	+1	11
13	Tenerife	6	3	1	2	+5	10
14	Ibiza	7	2	4	1	+2	10
15	Fuenlabrada	8	2	4	2	+0	10
16	Mirandes	8	3	1	4	-2	10
17	Amorebieta	7	2	3	2	+2	9
18	Zaragoza	8	1	6	1	+1	9
19	Huesca	8	2	3	3	+0	9
20	Leganes	7	1	3	3	-3	6
21	Sociedad B	7	1	3	3	-3	6
22	Alcorcon	8	1	2	5	-11	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Almeria	8	5	0	3	+8	15
2	Tenerife	8	4	2	2	+2	14
3	Eibar	8	3	3	2	-1	12
4	Ponferradina	7	3	2	2	+0	11
5	Valladolid	8	3	2	3	-2	11
6	Zaragoza	7	2	4	1	+0	10
7	Oviedo	7	2	3	2	+0	9
8	Ibiza	7	2	3	2	-3	9
9	Huesca	7	2	2	3	+0	8
10	Sociedad B	7	2	2	3	+0	8
11	Leganes	8	2	2	4	-1	8
12	Mirandes	7	2	2	3	-1	8
13	Girona	6	2	1	3	-2	7
14	Sp Gijon	8	1	4	3	-3	7
15	Las Palmas	7	1	4	2	-3	7
16	Cartagena	8	2	1	5	-7	7
17	Fuenlabrada	7	1	3	3	-2	6
18	Burgos	7	1	2	4	-6	5
19	Lugo	7	0	4	3	-3	4
20	Amorebieta	8	0	4	4	-6	4
21	Malaga	7	0	3	4	-8	3
22	Alcorcon	7	1	0	6	-8	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.