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LaLiga2

Referee: Álvaro Moreno

Ibiza

U T S S T

3–2

Full-time

Lugo

S S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ibiza Lugo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,2

Scored

0,8

1,0

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,2

This season — LaLiga2 · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 29%

29%

Points per game

1,0

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

43%

57%

Both score Ø 57%

43%

71%

Average goals

2,1

2,3

Scored

0,7

1,0

Conceded

1,4

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

43% Possession 57%

15 Shots 17

4 Shots on target 3

6 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 7

2 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 8

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ibiza 18. · Lugo 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Alaves	8	5	3	0	+6	18
2	Las Palmas	8	4	4	0	+9	16
3	Cartagena	8	5	1	2	+4	16
4	Albacete	8	4	2	2	+2	14
5	Andorra	8	4	2	2	+1	14
6	Eibar	7	4	1	2	+4	13
7	Granada	8	4	1	3	+1	13
8	Sp Gijon	8	3	3	2	+3	12
9	Burgos	8	2	6	0	+2	12
10	Villarreal B	8	3	3	2	+1	12
11	Huesca	8	3	2	3	+2	11
12	Levante	8	2	4	2	+2	10
13	Ponferradina	8	3	1	4	-3	10
14	Tenerife	8	2	3	3	-1	9
15	Oviedo	8	2	3	3	-2	9
16	Lugo	7	2	2	3	-2	8
17	Zaragoza	7	2	2	3	-2	8
18	Ibiza	7	2	1	4	-5	7
19	Mirandes	8	1	3	4	-5	6
20	Santander	8	1	2	5	-5	5
21	Malaga	8	1	2	5	-7	5
22	Leganes	8	1	1	6	-5	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Eibar	4	4	0	0	+7	12
2	Granada	4	3	1	0	+6	10
3	Las Palmas	4	3	1	0	+5	10
4	Alaves	4	3	1	0	+4	10
5	Andorra	3	3	0	0	+5	9
6	Huesca	4	3	0	1	+4	9
7	Villarreal B	4	2	2	0	+5	8
8	Tenerife	4	2	2	0	+3	8
9	Burgos	4	2	2	0	+2	8
10	Levante	4	2	1	1	+4	7
11	Sp Gijon	4	2	1	1	+2	7
12	Cartagena	4	2	1	1	+1	7
13	Mirandes	5	1	3	1	+0	6
14	Albacete	4	1	2	1	+0	5
15	Zaragoza	3	1	1	1	+0	4
16	Leganes	4	1	1	2	-1	4
17	Lugo	4	1	1	2	-1	4
18	Ibiza	3	1	1	1	-1	4
19	Ponferradina	4	1	1	2	-2	4
20	Oviedo	5	1	1	3	-3	4
21	Santander	4	0	2	2	-3	2
22	Malaga	3	0	1	2	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cartagena	4	3	0	1	+3	9
2	Albacete	4	3	0	1	+2	9
3	Alaves	4	2	2	0	+2	8
4	Las Palmas	4	1	3	0	+4	6
5	Ponferradina	4	2	0	2	-1	6
6	Sp Gijon	4	1	2	1	+1	5
7	Oviedo	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Andorra	5	1	2	2	-4	5
9	Burgos	4	0	4	0	+0	4
10	Lugo	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Malaga	5	1	1	3	-2	4
12	Zaragoza	4	1	1	2	-2	4
13	Villarreal B	4	1	1	2	-4	4
14	Santander	4	1	0	3	-2	3
15	Levante	4	0	3	1	-2	3
16	Ibiza	4	1	0	3	-4	3
17	Granada	4	1	0	3	-5	3
18	Huesca	4	0	2	2	-2	2
19	Eibar	3	0	1	2	-3	1
20	Tenerife	4	0	1	3	-4	1
21	Leganes	4	0	0	4	-4	0
22	Mirandes	3	0	0	3	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.