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LaLiga2
Referee: Luis Milla
Burgos
S U U T T
0–0
Full-time
Sp Gijon
U T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burgos Sp Gijon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,3
2,5
Scored
0,5
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
This season — LaLiga2 · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 31%
35%
26%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 26%
23%
29%
Both score Ø 36%
29%
42%
Average goals
1,5
2,1
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
0,6
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%
9 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 10
1 Offside 3
16 Free kicks against 8
5 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Burgos 7. · Sp Gijon 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Eibar 31 17 8 6 +11 59
2 Granada 32 17 7 8 +20 58
3 Las Palmas 32 15 13 4 +17 58
4 Levante 32 14 14 4 +13 56
5 Alaves 32 15 9 8 +12 54
6 Albacete 32 13 12 7 +6 51
7 Burgos 31 11 12 8 +5 45
8 Cartagena 31 12 8 11 +3 44
9 Huesca 31 9 14 8 +2 41
10 Tenerife 32 10 11 11 +0 41
11 Villarreal B 31 11 8 12 -5 41
12 Andorra 32 11 7 14 +4 40
13 Mirandes 31 10 10 11 -2 40
14 Leganes 32 10 10 12 -3 40
15 Oviedo 32 10 9 13 -5 39
16 Zaragoza 31 9 11 11 -3 38
17 Santander 31 9 10 12 -3 37
18 Sp Gijon 31 8 12 11 -4 36
19 Ponferradina 32 7 12 13 -13 33
20 Malaga 32 5 12 15 -11 27
21 Ibiza 32 5 10 17 -23 25
22 Lugo 31 5 9 17 -21 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Burgos Sp Gijon
Álex Bermejo Escribano 🟨
-5′
Half-time 0–0
Mourad El Ghezouani 🟨
47′
Miguel Atienza 🟨
48′
Unai Elguezabal 🟨
58′
Raúl Navarro 🔁
↦ Miguel Atienza
64′
Juan Artola 🔁
↦ Pablo Valcarce
64′
Sergio Castel 🔁
↦ Mourad
65′
67′
🔁 Dani Queipo
↦ J. Varane
70′
🟨 Juan Otero
72′
🟨 José Marsà
73′
🔁 Pol Valentín
↦ Cristo González
73′
🔁 J. Carrillo
↦ Aitor García
José Matos 🔁
↦ Fran García
74′
Juan Hernández 🔁
↦ Miki Muñoz
81′
Sergio Castel Martínez 🟨
88′
90′
🔁 Christian Rivera
↦ Pedro Díaz
90′
🔁 Jony
↦ Guille Rosas
91′
🟨 Cristian Rivera
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Burgos

4-3-3
13 José Caro G
19 Jesús Areso D
18 Aitor Córdoba D
21 David Goldar D
3 Fran García D
22 Miki Muñoz M
14 Unai Elgezabal M
5 Miguel Atienza M
16 Curro Sánchez F
9 Mourad F
8 Pablo Valcarce F
Bench (10)
6 Raúl Navarro
7 Juan Artola
12 Sergio Castel
23 José Matos
15 Juan Hernández
26 L. Badiashile
2 Borja González
4 Míchel Zabaco
1 Dani Barrio
10 Álex Bermejo

Coach: Julián Calero

Sp Gijon

4-2-3-1
1 Iván Cuéllar G
2 Guille Rosas D
24 C. Izquierdoz D
4 Pablo Ínsua D
32 Diego Sánchez D
37 J. Varane M
6 José Marsà M
19 J. Otero M
8 Pedro Díaz M
7 Aitor García M
12 Cristo González F
Bench (11)
16 Dani Queipo
22 Pol Valentín
20 J. Carrillo
17 Christian Rivera
9 Jony
3 Cote
14 I. Jeraldino
21 U. Milovanović
13 G. De Amores
5 Bruno
35 Juan Aspra

Coach: Miguel Ángel Ramírez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,43
U ✓
2,82
B
3,31
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
3,00
U2,5 ✓
1,37
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Luis Milla · 48 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
6,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.