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LaLiga2
Referee: Oliver De La Fuente
Leganes
U T T T T
1–3
Full-time
Cartagena
U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leganes Cartagena
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 17%
0%
33%
Average goals
1,2
3,0
Scored
0,0
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,0
This season — LaLiga2 · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 35%
30%
39%
Points per game
1,2
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
39%
48%
Both score Ø 41%
39%
42%
Average goals
1,8
2,2
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

40% Possession 60%
9 Shots 6
1 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
2 Corners 2
0 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Leganes 15. · Cartagena 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Eibar 33 18 9 6 +12 63
2 Granada 33 18 7 8 +21 61
3 Levante 34 15 15 4 +14 60
4 Las Palmas 33 15 14 4 +17 59
5 Alaves 33 16 9 8 +13 57
6 Albacete 33 13 13 7 +6 52
7 Burgos 34 12 13 9 +4 49
8 Cartagena 33 13 8 12 +2 47
9 Villarreal B 33 12 9 12 -2 45
10 Huesca 33 9 16 8 +2 43
11 Andorra 33 11 8 14 +4 41
12 Tenerife 33 10 11 12 -1 41
13 Mirandes 33 10 11 12 -3 41
14 Zaragoza 34 9 14 11 -3 41
15 Leganes 33 10 10 13 -5 40
16 Oviedo 33 10 9 14 -6 39
17 Sp Gijon 33 8 14 11 -4 38
18 Santander 34 9 11 14 -5 38
19 Ponferradina 33 7 13 13 -13 34
20 Malaga 33 6 12 15 -9 30
21 Ibiza 33 6 10 17 -21 28
22 Lugo 33 5 10 18 -23 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Leganes Cartagena
1–0 José Arnáiz
39′
40′
🟨 Ivan Calero
Jorge Miramón 🟨
43′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 F. Feuillassier
↦ José Mari
G. Shibasaki 🔁
↦ Iker Undabarrena
60′
65′
🔁 Alfredo Ortuño
↦ Y. Eteki
65′
🔁 David Ferreiro
↦ Darío Poveda
Yvan Neyou 🟨
77′
78′
Alfredo Ortuño 1–1
David Ferreiro
Rubén Pardo 🔁
↦ Y. Neyou
79′
Fede Vico 🔁
↦ S. Cissé
79′
80′
🟨 Jairo Izquierdo
81′
F. Feuillassier 1–2
Pêpê Rodrigues
82′
🟨 Franchu
83′
🔁 D. Musto
↦ Pêpê Rodrigues
Y. Qasmi 🔁
↦ Sergio González
84′
J. Narváez 🔁
↦ Jon Karrikaburu
84′
87′
🟨 Aarón Escandell
87′
🔁 Mikel Rico
↦ Borja Valle
91′
A. Nyom 2–2
own goal
93′
🟨 Damián Musto
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Leganes

5-4-1
13 Asier Riesgo G
2 A. Nyom D
4 K. Omeruo D
3 Jorge Sáenz D
6 Sergio González D
21 Miramón D
32 S. Cissé M
20 Iker Undabarrena M
16 Y. Neyou M
10 José Arnáiz M
19 Jon Karrikaburu F
Bench (10)
8 G. Shibasaki
18 Rubén Pardo
14 Fede Vico
9 Y. Qasmi
7 J. Narváez
25 Belman
5 Josema Sánchez
1 Dani Jiménez
24 P. Parzyszek
33 Lalo Aguilar

Coach: Imanol Idiakez

Cartagena

4-2-3-1
13 Aarón Escandell G
16 Iván Calero D
21 Kiko Olivas D
6 T. Datković D
26 José Mari D
23 Pêpê Rodrigues M
22 Y. Eteki M
20 Jairo Izquierdo M
8 P. De Blasis M
11 Darío Poveda M
10 Borja Valle F
Bench (12)
14 F. Feuillassier
9 Alfredo Ortuño
7 David Ferreiro
18 D. Musto
17 Mikel Rico
15 Sangalli
4 Alcalá
1 Marc Martínez
5 Pablo Vázquez
19 A. Sadiku
24 I. Jansson
33 Carlos Sánchez

Coach: Luis Carrión

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,13
U
3,05
B ✓
3,72
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,52
U2,5
1,50
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Oliver De La Fuente · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.