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LaLiga2
Referee: Andrés Fuentes
Lugo
T T T U U
1–1
Full-time
Santander
S T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugo Santander
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
1,5
2,3
Scored
0,2
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,3
This season — LaLiga2 · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 23%
16%
29%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 29%
32%
26%
Both score Ø 39%
39%
39%
Average goals
2,0
1,7
Scored
0,6
0,8
Conceded
1,3
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

30% Possession 70%
12 Shots 23
4 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 10
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 13
2 Offside 0
17 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lugo 22. · Santander 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Eibar 31 17 8 6 +11 59
2 Granada 32 17 7 8 +20 58
3 Las Palmas 32 15 13 4 +17 58
4 Levante 32 14 14 4 +13 56
5 Alaves 32 15 9 8 +12 54
6 Albacete 32 13 12 7 +6 51
7 Burgos 32 11 13 8 +5 46
8 Cartagena 31 12 8 11 +3 44
9 Huesca 32 9 15 8 +2 42
10 Tenerife 32 10 11 11 +0 41
11 Villarreal B 31 11 8 12 -5 41
12 Andorra 32 11 7 14 +4 40
13 Mirandes 31 10 10 11 -2 40
14 Leganes 32 10 10 12 -3 40
15 Zaragoza 32 9 12 11 -3 39
16 Oviedo 32 10 9 13 -5 39
17 Santander 31 9 10 12 -3 37
18 Sp Gijon 32 8 13 11 -4 37
19 Ponferradina 32 7 12 13 -13 33
20 Malaga 32 5 12 15 -11 27
21 Ibiza 32 5 10 17 -23 25
22 Lugo 31 5 9 17 -21 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lugo Santander
1–0 Javier Avilés
14′
22′
🟨 Dani Fernández
Bruno Pirri 🟨
37′
Half-time 1–0
51′
🟨 Rubén
57′
🟨 Juergen Elitim
61′
🔁 Jorge Pombo
↦ Dani Fernández
61′
🔁 S. Gassama
↦ R. Baturina
61′
🔁 Unai Medina
↦ J. Elitim
Josep Señé 🔁
↦ Sebas Moyano
66′
M. El Hacen 🔁
↦ Clavería
66′
74′
🔁 Yeray Cabanzón
↦ Marco Sangalli
J. Cuéllar 🔁
↦ Bruno Pirri
79′
Andrés Castrín 🔁
↦ Javier Avilés
79′
Jaume Cuéllar 🟨
88′
Ángel Baena 🔁
↦ Gui
88′
88′
🔁 C. Omoigui
↦ Aritz Aldasoro
89′
🟨 Saúl García
Alberto Rodríguez 🟨
91′
98′
Germán Sánchez 1–1
Yeray Cabanzón
El Hacen 🟨
99′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Lugo

3-1-4-2
13 Óscar Whalley G
15 Miguel Loureiro D
20 Bruno Pirri D
21 Alberto Rodríguez D
22 Marc Carbó M
23 Jordi Calavera M
38 Gui M
4 Clavería M
17 Andoni López M
19 Javier Avilés F
7 Sebas Moyano F
Bench (10)
8 Josep Señé
18 M. El Hacen
29 J. Cuéllar
27 Andrés Castrín
11 Ángel Baena
1 P. Sequeira
30 Pablo Castrín
14 Xavi Torres
24 Álex Pérez
16 M. Šćepović

Coach: Íñigo Vélez

Santander

4-2-3-1
1 Miquel Parera G
23 Dani Fernández D
16 Germán Sánchez D
15 Rubén González D
18 Saúl García D
20 J. Elitim M
21 Aritz Aldasoro M
14 Jordi Mboula M
10 Iñigo Vicente M
25 Marco Sangalli M
11 R. Baturina F
Bench (12)
24 Jorge Pombo
12 S. Gassama
17 Unai Medina
41 Yeray Cabanzón
9 C. Omoigui
3 Eneko Satrústegui
22 Arturo Molina
13 Jokin Ezkieta
19 Matheus Aiás
2 Álvaro Mantilla
6 Íñigo Sainz Maza
8 Fausto Tienza

Coach: Guillermo Fernández

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,95
U ✓
2,87
B
2,63
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,65
U2,5 ✓
1,45
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Andrés Fuentes · 69 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.