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LaLiga2
Referee: Jon González
Levante
U U S S T
4–2
Full-time
Almeria
S U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Levante Almeria
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

44% Possession 56%
13 Shots 17
8 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Levante 7. · Almeria 18. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Santander 6 4 2 0 +5 14
2 Zaragoza 7 4 1 2 +7 13
3 Burgos 6 4 1 1 +4 13
4 Huesca 7 4 0 3 +4 12
5 Eibar 6 3 3 0 +3 12
6 Mirandes 7 3 3 1 +3 12
7 Levante 6 3 2 1 +3 11
8 Eldense 7 3 2 2 +0 11
9 Elche 7 3 1 3 +1 10
10 Malaga 7 2 4 1 -1 10
11 Sp Gijon 7 2 3 2 +1 9
12 Albacete 7 3 0 4 -2 9
13 Cadiz 7 2 3 2 -2 9
14 Oviedo 6 2 2 2 -2 8
15 Castellon 6 2 1 3 +1 7
16 La Coruna 7 2 1 4 -2 7
17 Granada 6 1 3 2 -2 6
18 Almeria 6 1 3 2 -3 6
19 Cordoba 6 1 2 3 -4 5
20 Cartagena 6 1 0 5 -5 3
21 Ferrol 6 0 3 3 -5 3
22 Tenerife 6 0 2 4 -4 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Levante Almeria
1–0 Roger Brugué ⚽
José Luis Morales
2′
Diego Pampín 🟨
13′
2–0 José Luis Morales ⚽
Roger Brugué
15′
17′
⚽ Sergio Arribas 2–1
Gonzalo Melero
42′
🟨 Lucas Robertone
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 I. Baba
↦ A. Radovanović
46′
🔁 Bruno Langa
↦ Álex Centelles
47′
⚽ Sergio Arribas 2–2
L. Robertone
3–2 G. Kochorashvili ⚽
Carlos Álvarez
51′
52′
🔁 Arnau Puigmal
↦ L. Robertone
68′
🔁 Léo Baptistão
↦ Sergio Arribas
Iván Romero 🔁
↦ José Luis Morales
72′
Vicente Iborra 🔁
↦ Pablo Martínez
72′
4–2 Carlos Álvarez ⚽
G. Kochorashvili
74′
80′
🔁 R. Fettal
↦ Gonzalo Melero
Ángel Algobia 🔁
↦ G. Kochorashvili
85′
Carlos Espí 🔁
↦ Roger Brugué
85′
Víctor Fernández 🔁
↦ Carlos Álvarez
91′
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Levante

4-4-1-1
1 Andrés Fernández G
2 Andrés García D
5 Unai Elgezabal D
14 Jorge Cabello D
16 Diego Pampín D
24 Carlos Álvarez M
6 G. Kochorashvili M
20 Oriol Rey M
7 Roger Brugué M
23 Pablo Martínez F
11 José Luis Morales F
Bench (11)
9 Iván Romero
10 Vicente Iborra
8 Ángel Algobia
38 Carlos Espí
30 Víctor Fernández
36 Alfonso Pastor
4 Adrián de la Fuente
21 Sergio Lozano
17 Óscar Clemente
29 Marcos Navarro
31 Xavi Grande

Coach: Julián Calero

Almeria

4-2-3-1
1 Luís Maximiano G
17 Álex Pozo D
21 Chumi D
16 A. Radovanović D
20 Álex Centelles D
8 Gonzalo Melero M
3 Edgar González M
11 Sergio Arribas M
5 L. Robertone M
10 Nico Melamed M
9 L. Suárez F
Bench (10)
15 I. Baba
24 Bruno Langa
2 Arnau Puigmal
12 Léo Baptistão
28 R. Fettal
6 D. Lopy
4 Kaiky
13 Fernando Martínez
19 M. Milovanović
27 Gui

Coach: Rubi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,44
U
3,40
B
2,72
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
1,70
U2,5
2,10
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

Jon González · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.