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LaLiga2
Referee: Saúl Ais
Burgos
U T S S S
2–2
Full-time
Granada
S T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burgos Granada
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

43% Possession 57%
5 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
6 Corners 3
3 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 12
4 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Burgos 4. · Granada 17. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Levante 7 4 2 1 +5 14
2 Santander 6 4 2 0 +5 14
3 Zaragoza 7 4 1 2 +7 13
4 Burgos 6 4 1 1 +4 13
5 Huesca 7 4 0 3 +4 12
6 Eibar 6 3 3 0 +3 12
7 Mirandes 7 3 3 1 +3 12
8 Eldense 7 3 2 2 +0 11
9 Elche 7 3 1 3 +1 10
10 Malaga 7 2 4 1 -1 10
11 Sp Gijon 7 2 3 2 +1 9
12 Albacete 7 3 0 4 -2 9
13 Cadiz 7 2 3 2 -2 9
14 Oviedo 6 2 2 2 -2 8
15 Castellon 6 2 1 3 +1 7
16 La Coruna 7 2 1 4 -2 7
17 Granada 6 1 3 2 -2 6
18 Almeria 7 1 3 3 -5 6
19 Cordoba 6 1 2 3 -4 5
20 Cartagena 6 1 0 5 -5 3
21 Ferrol 6 0 3 3 -5 3
22 Tenerife 6 0 2 4 -4 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Burgos Granada
18′
🟨 Gonzalo Villar
21′
🟨 Miguel Ángel Brau
21′
🟨 Myrto Uzuni
David López 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–1
51′
⚽ G. Tsitaishvili 0–1
M. Uzuni
Borja Sánchez 🔁
↦ David López
58′
Edu Espiau 🔁
↦ Fer Niño
58′
David González 🔁
↦ Dani Ojeda
58′
L. López 🔁
↦ Miguel Atienza
58′
Lisandro López 🟨
62′
68′
🔁 Manu Trigueros
↦ Reinier
71′
🟨 Kamil Jóźwiak
1–1 L. López ⚽
Aitor Córdoba
72′
73′
⚽ Manu Trigueros 1–2
2–2 Borja Sánchez ⚽
77′
79′
🔁 Pablo Sáenz
↦ G. Tsitaishvili
80′
🔁 T. Corbeanu
↦ K. Jóźwiak
A. Arroyo 🔁
↦ Pipa
84′
88′
🔁 Rubén Sánchez
↦ Miguel Brau
89′
🔁 S. Weissman
↦ M. Uzuni
Aitor Córdoba Querejeta 🟨
92′
Borja Sánchez 🟨
93′
94′
🟨 Pablo Sáenz
95′
🟨 Loïc Williams
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Burgos

4-2-3-1
13 Ander Cantero G
20 Pipa D
18 Aitor Córdoba D
27 David López D
3 F. Miguel D
5 Miguel Atienza M
23 Iván Morante M
11 Álex Sancris M
12 K. Appin M
7 Dani Ojeda M
9 Fer Niño F
Bench (11)
10 Borja Sánchez
19 Edu Espiau
14 David González
2 L. López
4 A. Arroyo
1 L. Badiashile
38 Ian Forns
32 Hugo Pascual
39 G. Nsukula
6 Raúl Navarro
22 T. Rodríguez

Coach: Bolo

Granada

4-4-2
25 Diego Mariño G
12 Ricard Sánchez D
14 Ignasi Miquel D
24 Loïc Williams D
3 Miguel Brau D
11 G. Tsitaishvili M
6 M. Hongla M
8 Gonzalo Villar M
18 K. Jóźwiak M
10 M. Uzuni F
19 Reinier F
Bench (11)
23 Manu Trigueros
22 Pablo Sáenz
17 T. Corbeanu
2 Rubén Sánchez
9 S. Weissman
20 Sergio Ruiz
33 Íker García
30 Siren Diao
4 Miguel Rubio
13 Marc Martínez
28 O. Oppong

Coach: Fran Escribá

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,35
U ✓
3,21
B
3,00
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
1,98
U2,5
1,80
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

Saúl Ais · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.