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LaLiga2
Referee: Manuel Orellana
Elche
U S S T U
2–1
Full-time
Sp Gijon
T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elche Sp Gijon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,8
This season — LaLiga2 · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 39%
33%
44%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
44%
44%
Both score Ø 45%
22%
67%
Average goals
2,0
2,2
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,0
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%
12 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 4
12 Free kicks against 28
0 Yellow cards 7
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Elche 15. · Sp Gijon 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Santander 10 7 2 1 +7 23
2 Mirandes 10 5 3 2 +4 18
3 Huesca 10 5 2 3 +6 17
4 Zaragoza 9 5 1 3 +7 16
5 Castellon 10 5 1 4 +4 16
6 Granada 10 4 4 2 +4 16
7 Oviedo 10 4 4 2 +0 16
8 Sp Gijon 9 4 3 2 +4 15
9 Levante 10 4 3 3 +2 15
10 Eibar 10 4 3 3 +0 15
11 Burgos 9 4 2 3 +1 14
12 Malaga 10 2 7 1 -1 13
13 Cordoba 10 3 3 4 -2 12
14 Eldense 10 3 3 4 -2 12
15 Elche 9 3 2 4 +0 11
16 Albacete 9 3 2 4 -2 11
17 La Coruna 10 2 4 4 -2 10
18 Cadiz 10 2 4 4 -5 10
19 Ferrol 10 2 4 4 -5 10
20 Almeria 9 2 3 4 -4 9
21 Cartagena 10 2 0 8 -8 6
22 Tenerife 10 1 2 7 -8 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Elche Sp Gijon
36′
🟨 Pablo García
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 Cote
↦ Pablo García
1–0 Óscar Plano
Yago Santiago
49′
E. Rashani 🔁
↦ Yago Santiago
58′
58′
🔁 Diego Sánchez
↦ N. Maraš
58′
🔁 Nacho Martín
↦ Lander Olaetxea
2–0 E. Rashani
Rodrigo Mendoza
66′
67′
🔁 J. Caicedo
↦ J. Otero
R. Núñez 🔁
↦ Óscar Plano
70′
M. El Ghezouani 🔁
↦ A. Álvarez
70′
70′
🔁 Dani Queipo
↦ César Gelabert
74′
🟨 Dani Queipo
77′
Jonathan Dubasin 2–1
Cote
Cristian Salvador 🔁
↦ N. Fernández
79′
Bambo Diaby 🔁
↦ Rodrigo Mendoza
79′
80′
🟨 Jonathan Dubasin
86′
🟨 Róber Pier
92′
🟨 José Ángel
98′
🟨 Jordy Caicedo
98′
🟨 Gaspar Campos
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Elche

5-3-2
13 M. Dituro G
15 Álvaro Núñez D
22 D. Affengruber D
6 Pedro Bigas D
12 José Salinas D
24 Yago Santiago D
10 N. Fernández M
14 Aleix Febas M
30 Rodrigo Mendoza M
7 Óscar Plano F
9 A. Álvarez F
Bench (12)
11 E. Rashani
36 R. Núñez
19 M. El Ghezouani
20 Cristian Salvador
4 Bambo Diaby
2 Mario Gaspar
18 S. Kaba
26 M. Barzić
1 Miguel San Román
31 Gerard Hernández
8 Raúl Guti
16 Álex Martín

Coach: Eder Sarabia

Sp Gijon

4-3-3
1 Rubén Yáñez G
2 Guille Rosas D
15 N. Maraš D
4 Róber Pier D
5 Pablo García D
18 César Gelabert M
14 Lander Olaetxea M
10 Nacho Méndez M
17 Jonathan Dubasin F
19 J. Otero F
7 Gaspar Campos F
Bench (11)
3 Cote
22 Diego Sánchez
6 Nacho Martín
16 J. Caicedo
9 Dani Queipo
27 Álex Oyón
8 Jesús Bernal
20 Kevin Vázquez
29 Y. Kembo
13 C. Sánchez
11 Víctor Campuzano

Coach: Rubén Albés

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,02
U
3,18
B
3,79
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,33
U2,5
1,58
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Manuel Orellana · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.