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Copa del Rey

Referee: José Guzmán

CD Coria

S T

0–3

Full-time

Elche

T U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

CD Coria Elche

Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 9%

17%

Average goals

3,5

1,3

Scored

1,0

Conceded

2,5

0,3

Goal diff per game

-1,5

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Yeclano	1	1	0	0	+6	3
2	Villarreal	1	1	0	0	+5	3
3	Vallecano	1	1	0	0	+5	3
4	Zaragoza	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Unionistas de Salamanca	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Chiclana	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	Vic	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Burgos	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Valladolid	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Cadiz	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	UD San Pedro	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Barakaldo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Manises	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Huesca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Granada	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Santander	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Ourense CF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Gimnastic	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Zamora	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Europa Fc	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Leganes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Orihuela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Marbella	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Sant Andreu	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Sp Gijon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	UD Logroñés	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Cartagena	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Alaves	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Parla Escuela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Salamanca UDS	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Astur	2	1	0	1	-1	3
33	Villamuriel	2	1	0	1	-4	3
34	Olot	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Cordoba	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	San Tirso	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Selaya	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	Baztán	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Ontiñena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	Gévora	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	Playas Sotavento	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	Escobedo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	Ponferradina	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Lanzarote	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Guijuelo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Juventud Torremolinos	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Albacete	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Ciudad de Lucena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Langreo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Bergantiños	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Mirandes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Numancia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Eibar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Beasain	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Compostela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Sonseca	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Aurrerá Vitoria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Alcorcon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Lleida Esportiu	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Dolorense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Badalona	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Promesas EDF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Cortes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	Móstoles	1	0	0	1	-3	0
67	Las Rozas	1	0	0	1	-3	0
68	Real Jaén	1	0	0	1	-3	0
69	L'Hospitalet	1	0	0	1	-4	0
70	Utebo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
71	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-4	0
72	Sporting Mahón	1	0	0	1	-4	0
73	Poblense	1	0	0	1	-5	0
74	Laredo	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Chiclana	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Vic	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	UD San Pedro	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Europa Fc	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Sant Andreu	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	UD Logroñés	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Salamanca UDS	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Astur	2	1	0	1	-1	3
9	Villamuriel	2	1	0	1	-4	3
10	Olot	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	San Tirso	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Baztán	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Gévora	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Escobedo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Lanzarote	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Guijuelo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Juventud Torremolinos	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Ciudad de Lucena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Langreo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Bergantiños	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Numancia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Beasain	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Compostela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Sonseca	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Lleida Esportiu	1	0	0	1	-2	0
27	Dolorense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
28	Badalona	1	0	0	1	-2	0
29	Cortes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
30	Móstoles	1	0	0	1	-3	0
31	Las Rozas	1	0	0	1	-3	0
32	Real Jaén	1	0	0	1	-3	0
33	L'Hospitalet	1	0	0	1	-4	0
34	Utebo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
35	Poblense	1	0	0	1	-5	0
36	Laredo	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Yeclano	1	1	0	0	+6	3
2	Villarreal	1	1	0	0	+5	3
3	Vallecano	1	1	0	0	+5	3
4	Zaragoza	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Unionistas de Salamanca	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Burgos	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Valladolid	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Cadiz	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Barakaldo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Manises	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Huesca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Granada	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Santander	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Ourense CF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Gimnastic	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Zamora	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Leganes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Orihuela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Marbella	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Sp Gijon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Cartagena	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Alaves	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Parla Escuela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Cordoba	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Selaya	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Ontiñena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Playas Sotavento	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Ponferradina	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Albacete	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Mirandes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Eibar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Aurrerá Vitoria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Alcorcon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Promesas EDF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-4	0
38	Sporting Mahón	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

CD Coria Elche

15′

⚽ Mario Gaspar 0–1

Raúl Guti

J. Rubio 🟨

16′

26′

⚽ M. El Ghezouani 0–2

Half-time 0–2

46′

🔁 A. Álvarez

↦ M. El Ghezouani

G. Llerena 🟨

55′

Alberto Páez 🔁

↦ Adrià

57′

Nando Copete 🔁

↦ Pablo Margallo

57′

Moi Parra 🔁

↦ Sergio Gómez

57′

🔁 John Donald

↦ M. Barzić

63′

🔁 Álvaro Núñez

↦ Mario Gaspar

63′

🔁 Gerard Hernández

↦ R. Núñez

Cedenilla 🔁

↦ Juanjo Rubio

67′

Mariano Carmona 🔁

↦ Samu Manchón

71′

J. Chavales 🟨

74′

80′

🔁 Yago Santiago

↦ A. Niculăesei

82′

⚽ A. Álvarez 0–3

Raúl Guti

Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

CD Coria

25 Marcos Barriga

5 Gonzalo Llerena

20 Iñaki León

4 Juanjo Rubio

22 Mikel Carro

7 Pablo Margallo

10 Sergio Gómez

23 D. A Moubeke

16 Juanjo Chavalés

17 Samu Manchón

9 Adrià

Bench (8)

11 Alberto Páez

19 Nando Copete

21 Moi Parra

12 Cedenilla

18 Mariano Carmona

6 L. Télles

14 H. El Yahyaoui

1 Kellyan

Coach: Rai

Elche

1 Miguel San Román

2 Mario Gaspar

Álex Martín

M. Barzić

41 A. Niculăesei

20 Cristian Salvador

8 Raúl Guti

18 S. Kaba

19 M. El Ghezouani

36 R. Núñez

A. Houary

Bench (9)

9 A. Álvarez

5 John Donald

15 Álvaro Núñez

31 Gerard Hernández

24 Yago Santiago

32 A. Boayar

21 N. Castro

30 Rodrigo Mendoza

40 Owen Bosch

Coach: Eder Sarabia

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

–

🔒

B ✓

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5 ✓

–

🔒

U2,5

–

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja

–

🔒

BLS nei ✓

–

🔒

Recent matches

21. Dec CDR 3 years ago

12. Nov CDR 3 years ago

Referee

José Guzmán · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

4,8 / match

Above average

⚽ Free kicks

26,3 / match

Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

CD Coria

Elche

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee