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LaLiga2
Referee: Daniel Palencia
Sp Gijon
U T U U T
2–0
Full-time
Burgos
U U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Gijon Burgos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 59%
100%
17%
Average goals
3,0
0,8
Scored
1,0
0,5
Conceded
2,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 24/23 matches
Win Ø 32%
33%
30%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
46%
22%
Both score Ø 51%
71%
30%
Average goals
2,6
1,9
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%
9 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 3
4 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sp Gijon 10. · Burgos 18. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Santander 24 13 6 5 +12 45
2 Mirandes 25 13 5 7 +11 44
3 Almeria 24 12 7 5 +13 43
4 Elche 25 12 7 6 +13 43
5 Levante 24 11 9 4 +13 42
6 Oviedo 24 12 6 6 +6 42
7 Huesca 24 11 7 6 +14 40
8 Granada 25 11 7 7 +11 40
9 Zaragoza 24 9 6 9 +5 33
10 Sp Gijon 24 8 8 8 +2 32
11 Eibar 24 9 5 10 -2 32
12 Malaga 24 6 13 5 +0 31
13 Albacete 24 7 10 7 -2 31
14 Cadiz 24 7 9 8 -1 30
15 Cordoba 24 8 6 10 -8 30
16 La Coruna 24 7 8 9 +2 29
17 Castellon 24 8 5 11 -3 29
18 Burgos 23 7 6 10 -8 27
19 Eldense 25 6 6 13 -15 24
20 Ferrol 23 3 10 10 -20 19
21 Tenerife 24 3 7 14 -17 16
22 Cartagena 24 4 3 17 -26 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sp Gijon Burgos
33′
🟨 Iván Morante
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 Mario Cantero
↦ Iván Morante
51′
🟨 Miguel Atienza
1–0 Lander Olaetxea ⚽
N. Maraš
52′
53′
🟨 Anderson Arroyo
60′
🔁 Fer Niño
↦ Edu Espiau
Ignacio Méndez 🟨
65′
Nico Serrano 🔁
↦ Víctor Campuzano
70′
Carlos Dotor 🔁
↦ Nacho Martín
76′
79′
🔁 Pipa
↦ F. Miguel
79′
🔁 Dani Ojeda
↦ A. Arroyo
2–0 Carlos Dotor ⚽
Nico Serrano
83′
Guille Rosas 🟨
85′
86′
🟨 Fernando Niño
88′
🔁 David González
↦ Miguel Atienza
Kevin Vázquez 🔁
↦ J. Otero
89′
J. Caicedo 🔁
↦ Guille Rosas
89′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Sp Gijon

5-3-2
1 Rubén Yáñez G
2 Guille Rosas D
15 N. Maraš D
14 Lander Olaetxea D
22 Diego Sánchez D
5 Pablo García D
6 Nacho Martín M
10 Nacho Méndez M
17 Jonathan Dubasin M
19 J. Otero F
11 Víctor Campuzano F
Bench (10)
21 Nico Serrano
12 Carlos Dotor
20 Kevin Vázquez
16 J. Caicedo
3 Cote
13 C. Sánchez
27 Álex Oyón
9 Dani Queipo
28 P. Mbemba
29 Y. Kembo

Coach: Rubén Albés

Burgos

4-2-3-1
13 Ander Cantero G
4 A. Arroyo D
18 Aitor Córdoba D
8 Grego Sierra D
3 F. Miguel D
23 Iván Morante M
5 Miguel Atienza M
11 Álex Sancris M
16 Curro Sánchez M
21 Iñigo Córdoba M
19 Edu Espiau F
Bench (12)
28 Mario Cantero
9 Fer Niño
20 Pipa
7 Dani Ojeda
14 David González
30 O. El Goumiri
37 Marc Monedero
10 Borja Sánchez
26 L. Lečić
32 Hugo Pascual
39 G. Nsukula
1 Tomeu Nadal

Coach: Luis Miguel Ramis

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,87
U
3,16
B
4,56
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5
2,62
U2,5 ✓
1,46
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

Referee

Daniel Palencia · 24 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,50 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.