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Copa del Rey
3–1
Full-time
Las Palmas
T S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Extremadura 1924 Las Palmas
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
100%
17%
Both score Ø 17%
0%
33%
Average goals
4,0
1,5
Scored
0,0
1,0
Conceded
4,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
-4,0
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Palma del Rio 2 2 0 0 +10 6
2 Sant Just 2 2 0 0 +6 6
3 CD Sant Jordi 2 2 0 0 +3 6
4 Puerto de Vega 2 1 1 0 +4 4
5 CD Yuncos 2 1 1 0 +2 4
6 Deportivo Getxo 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Maracena 3 1 1 1 -3 4
8 Inter de Valdemoro 3 1 1 1 -9 4
9 Getafe 1 1 0 0 +11 3
10 Valencia 1 1 0 0 +5 3
11 Granada 1 1 0 0 +4 3
12 Santander 1 1 0 0 +4 3
13 Tenerife 1 1 0 0 +4 3
14 SD Negreira 2 1 0 1 +3 3
15 CF Talavera 1 1 0 0 +3 3
16 Huesca 1 1 0 0 +3 3
17 Albacete 1 1 0 0 +3 3
18 Ourense CF 1 1 0 0 +2 3
19 Cadiz 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 Cultural Leonesa 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 Girona 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 Guadalajara 1 1 0 0 +1 3
23 Burgos 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 Manises 2 1 0 1 +0 3
25 Los Garres 2 1 0 1 +0 3
26 Textil Escudo 2 1 0 1 -3 3
27 Langreo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
28 Ferrol 1 0 1 0 +0 1
29 Betis Valladolid 2 0 1 1 -1 1
30 Universitario FC 2 0 1 1 -2 1
31 Sporting Ceuta 2 0 1 1 -2 1
32 Campanario 2 0 1 1 -2 1
33 Alberite 2 0 1 1 -4 1
34 Constància 1 0 0 1 -1 0
35 Cacereño 1 0 0 1 -1 0
36 Atlético Tordesillas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
37 Oviedo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
38 Ucam Murcia 1 0 0 1 -2 0
39 Tropezón 1 0 0 1 -2 0
40 Rayo Majadahonda 1 0 0 1 -3 0
41 Lourdes 2 0 0 2 -3 0
42 Utebo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
43 San Fernando CD 1 0 0 1 -3 0
44 Roda 1 0 0 1 -4 0
45 SD Logroñés 1 0 0 1 -4 0
46 RSD Alcalá 1 0 0 1 -4 0
47 Atletico Calatayud 2 0 0 2 -6 0
48 Atlético Melilla 2 0 0 2 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Extremadura 1924 Las Palmas
1–0 M. Manchon
14′
L. Morcillo 🟨
26′
G. Zarfino 🟨
41′
Half-time 1–0
54′
🔁 M. Fuster
↦ I. Gonzalez
2–0 Imanol Barce
61′
J. Callejon 🔁
↦ G. Zarfino
63′
Frodo 🔁
↦ M. Villajos
63′
68′
🔁 E. Loiodice
↦ Viti
68′
🔁 A. Rodriguez
↦ A. Arvelo
M. Nunez 🔁
↦ L. Morcillo
71′
S. Fernandez 🟨
76′
77′
V. Pezzolesi 2–1
M. Fuster
R. Moreno 🔁
↦ M. Manchon
78′
Dieguito 🔁
↦ U. Arhoun
78′
80′
🟨 C. Gutierrez
81′
🔁 Alex Suarez
↦ Pejino
81′
🔁 M. Lukovic
↦ C. Navarro
R. Moreno 🟨
82′
C. Ramallo 🟨
87′
3–1 Frodo
Imanol Barce
90′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Extremadura 1924

13 C. Ramallo
2 S. Hurtado
5 A. Cano
3 C. Cordero
20 Tala
7 Imanol Barce
21 U. Arhoun
8 G. Zarfino
24 L. Morcillo
9 M. Villajos
11 M. Manchon
Bench (9)
30 V. Lavado
4 J. Pardo
15 A. Peral
6 R. Moreno
14 M. Nunez
10 J. Callejon
23 Dieguito
27 C. Fernandez
19 Frodo

Coach: Cisqui

Las Palmas

13 J. Caro
17 Viti
38 C. Navarro
15 J. Herzog
23 C. Gutierrez
29 A. Arvelo
24 Pejino
18 E. Cedeno
26 I. Gonzalez
7 J. Mata
27 V. Pezzolesi
Bench (9)
35 A. Suarez
4 Alex Suarez
14 M. Fuster
36 Josito
12 E. Loiodice
39 I. Medina
25 M. Lukovic
37 A. Rodriguez
34 D. Martin

Coach: Luis García Fernández

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.