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Superligaen
Referee: J Sundberg
Sonderjyske
U T T S T
2–2
Full-time
Viborg
T T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sonderjyske Viborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,8
3,8
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
2,0
2,2
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Superligaen · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,8
3,8
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
2,0
2,2
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

0,83 xG 2,23
51% Possession 49%
11 Shots 21
6 Shots on target 6
0 Blocked shots 7
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 9
0 Offside 6
18 Free kicks against 6
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sonderjyske 11. · Viborg 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Aarhus 7 5 1 1 +14 +1.6 16
2 Silkeborg 6 5 0 1 +8 +1.0 15
3 Midtjylland 6 4 2 0 +6 +6.3 14
4 Brondby 6 3 2 1 +6 +5.0 11
5 FC Copenhagen 6 3 2 1 +4 +4.8 11
6 Nordsjaelland 7 3 2 2 +0 +3.6 11
7 Randers FC 6 2 2 2 +0 -0.2 8
8 Aalborg 6 2 0 4 -11 -5.1 6
9 Viborg 6 1 2 3 -3 -2.5 5
10 Lyngby 7 1 2 4 -5 -2.7 5
11 Sonderjyske 6 1 1 4 -7 -8.2 4
12 Vejle 7 0 0 7 -12 -3.6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sonderjyske Viborg
18′
🟨 Jakob Vester
1–0 L. Qamili
34′
2–0 K. Ingason
R. Vinderslev
36′
Half-time 2–0
T. Sommer 🔁
↦ R. Vinderslev
46′
46′
🔁 T. Jørgensen
↦ J. Vester
52′
S. Kuzmić 2–1
Serginho
Kristall Máni Ingason 🟨
53′
Lukas Björklund 🟨
58′
I. Nikolov 🔁
↦ L. Björklund
59′
68′
🔁 Renato Júnior
↦ A. Ementa
68′
🔁 C. Nouck
↦ I. Jensen
68′
🔁 J. Lonwijk
↦ M. Westergaard
72′
Serginho 2–2
D. Anyembe
I. Djantou 🔁
↦ M. Agger
73′
D. Wilkins 🔁
↦ J. Simonsen
73′
79′
🔁 M. Søndergaard
↦ S. Kuzmić
A. Lyng 🔁
↦ A. Oggesen
84′
90′
🟨 Justin Lonwijk
Sefer Emini 🟨
93′
97′
🟨 Mads Søndergaard
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Sonderjyske

4-3-3
16 J. Busk G
22 A. Oggesen D
12 M. Soulas D
4 D. Grétarsson D
21 J. Simonsen D
7 S. Emini M
6 R. Vinderslev M
8 L. Björklund M
15 L. Qamili F
10 K. Ingason F
25 M. Agger F
Bench (9)
26 T. Sommer
18 I. Nikolov
9 I. Djantou
13 D. Wilkins
11 A. Lyng
5 M. Dal Hende
1 N. Flø
31 M. Haidara
17 J. Gallegos

Coach: T. Nørgaard

Viborg

4-3-3
16 O. Hedvall G
24 D. Anyembe D
55 S. Radić D
4 N. Bürgy D
30 S. Kuzmić D
28 M. Westergaard M
18 J. Mbom M
37 J. Vester M
7 Serginho F
14 A. Ementa F
15 I. Jensen F
Bench (9)
12 T. Jørgensen
11 Renato Júnior
17 C. Nouck
19 J. Lonwijk
6 M. Søndergaard
10 J. Jacobs
31 C. Christensen
1 L. Lund
32 L. Kirkegaard

Coach: J. Poulsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Sundberg · 57 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.