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Allsvenskan

Elfsborg

S S S S T

0–0

Full-time

Varberg

U T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elfsborg Varberg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

3,2

2,5

Scored

1,8

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,2

This season — Allsvenskan · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 45%

58%

31%

Points per game

1,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

62%

54%

Both score Ø 54%

42%

65%

Average goals

2,8

2,5

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

1,1

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Elfsborg 3. · Varberg 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Malmo FF	26	15	6	5	+25	51
2	Djurgarden	26	15	5	6	+15	50
3	Elfsborg	26	15	3	8	+16	48
4	AIK	26	14	5	7	+12	47
5	Norrkoping	26	13	4	9	+9	43
6	Hammarby	26	12	7	7	+7	43
7	Kalmar	26	11	8	7	+3	41
8	Goteborg	26	9	7	10	+0	34
9	Varberg	26	8	9	9	+0	33
10	Hacken	26	8	8	10	+2	32
11	Mjallby	26	7	10	9	+3	31
12	Halmstad	26	6	12	8	-3	30
13	Sirius	26	8	6	12	-16	30
14	Degerfors	26	8	4	14	-16	28
15	Orebro	26	4	5	17	-32	17
16	Ostersunds	26	3	5	18	-25	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AIK	13	11	2	0	+16	35
2	Hammarby	13	9	3	1	+13	30
3	Djurgarden	13	9	2	2	+12	29
4	Malmo FF	13	8	3	2	+15	27
5	Norrkoping	13	8	3	2	+12	27
6	Elfsborg	13	8	2	3	+11	26
7	Kalmar	13	5	5	3	+3	20
8	Varberg	13	5	5	3	+2	20
9	Mjallby	13	5	4	4	+6	19
10	Degerfors	13	6	1	6	+1	19
11	Sirius	13	6	1	6	-1	19
12	Hacken	13	5	3	5	+7	18
13	Goteborg	13	5	3	5	+4	18
14	Halmstad	13	3	9	1	+2	18
15	Ostersunds	13	3	2	8	-2	11
16	Orebro	13	2	4	7	-9	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Malmo FF	13	7	3	3	+10	24
2	Elfsborg	13	7	1	5	+5	22
3	Djurgarden	13	6	3	4	+3	21
4	Kalmar	13	6	3	4	+0	21
5	Norrkoping	13	5	1	7	-3	16
6	Goteborg	13	4	4	5	-4	16
7	Hacken	13	3	5	5	-5	14
8	Varberg	13	3	4	6	-2	13
9	Hammarby	13	3	4	6	-6	13
10	Mjallby	13	2	6	5	-3	12
11	AIK	13	3	3	7	-4	12
12	Halmstad	13	3	3	7	-5	12
13	Sirius	13	2	5	6	-15	11
14	Degerfors	13	2	3	8	-17	9
15	Orebro	13	2	1	10	-23	7
16	Ostersunds	13	0	3	10	-23	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.