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Allsvenskan

Referee: K Karlsson

Kalmar

T T T T S

2–2

Full-time

Malmo FF

U S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kalmar Malmo FF

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,5

3,7

Scored

1,5

1,8

Conceded

2,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 50%

26%

74%

Points per game

0,8

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 71%

74%

68%

Both score Ø 58%

68%

47%

Average goals

3,5

3,4

Scored

1,3

2,5

Conceded

2,2

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,9

+1,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,01 xG 2,10

28% Possession 72%

9 Shots 19

4 Shots on target 7

1 Blocked shots 6

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 6

2 Offside 1

17 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Kalmar 15. · Malmo FF 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	19	14	2	3	+30	+20.1	44
2	Hammarby	19	11	2	6	+16	+3.1	35
3	Djurgarden	18	11	2	5	+14	+1.0	35
4	GAIS	19	10	1	8	+0	-3.0	31
5	Hacken	18	9	3	6	+7	-3.5	30
6	Mjallby	19	9	3	7	+3	+1.8	30
7	Elfsborg	19	9	2	8	+8	+2.2	29
8	AIK	19	9	2	8	-3	+1.7	29
9	Sirius	19	8	4	7	+4	-0.0	28
10	Brommapojkarna	19	6	7	6	-4	+2.7	25
11	Norrkoping	19	7	2	10	-16	-4.3	23
12	Goteborg	19	5	6	8	-8	-3.2	21
13	Halmstad	19	7	0	12	-13	-6.8	21
14	Varnamo	19	5	4	10	-9	-7.3	19
15	Kalmar	19	5	1	13	-18	-8.4	16
16	Vasteras SK	19	4	3	12	-11	+4.0	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	9	8	0	1	+19	+8.7	24
2	Elfsborg	10	7	1	2	+15	+3.9	22
3	GAIS	10	7	1	2	+7	+0.8	22
4	Mjallby	10	6	3	1	+8	+2.6	21
5	Hammarby	9	6	1	2	+11	+1.2	19
6	AIK	9	6	0	3	+9	+2.1	18
7	Djurgarden	10	5	2	3	+2	-2.0	17
8	Hacken	9	5	1	3	+7	-1.7	16
9	Halmstad	9	5	0	4	+4	-1.1	15
10	Norrkoping	9	5	0	4	-4	-1.5	15
11	Sirius	9	4	2	3	+6	+1.8	14
12	Vasteras SK	10	3	1	6	-5	+2.5	10
13	Goteborg	10	2	4	4	-6	-3.3	10
14	Brommapojkarna	9	2	3	4	-8	+1.1	9
15	Kalmar	9	2	1	6	-7	-2.1	7
16	Varnamo	10	1	2	7	-13	-4.1	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	10	6	2	2	+11	+11.4	20
2	Djurgarden	8	6	0	2	+12	+3.1	18
3	Hammarby	10	5	1	4	+5	+1.9	16
4	Brommapojkarna	10	4	4	2	+4	+1.5	16
5	Varnamo	9	4	2	3	+4	-3.3	14
6	Hacken	9	4	2	3	+0	-1.8	14
7	Sirius	10	4	2	4	-2	-1.9	14
8	Goteborg	9	3	2	4	-2	+0.2	11
9	AIK	10	3	2	5	-12	-0.4	11
10	Mjallby	9	3	0	6	-5	-0.9	9
11	GAIS	9	3	0	6	-7	-3.9	9
12	Kalmar	10	3	0	7	-11	-6.3	9
13	Norrkoping	10	2	2	6	-12	-2.9	8
14	Elfsborg	9	2	1	6	-7	-1.8	7
15	Halmstad	10	2	0	8	-17	-5.7	6
16	Vasteras SK	9	1	2	6	-6	+1.6	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.