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Bundesliga
Referee: D Schlager
Werder Bremen
T T S T T
0–2
Full-time
Union Berlin
T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Werder Bremen Union Berlin
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
0,5
0,8
Conceded
2,8
2,2
Goal diff per game
-2,3
-1,3
This season — Bundesliga · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 28%
20%
35%
Points per game
0,9
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
80%
50%
Both score Ø 60%
70%
50%
Average goals
3,6
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
2,3
1,6
Goal diff per game
-1,1
-0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

69% Possession 31%
14 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 5
1 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 16
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Werder Bremen 16. · Union Berlin 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 20 13 3 4 +35 42
2 RB Leipzig 20 12 5 3 +28 41
3 Dortmund 20 11 6 3 +28 39
4 M'gladbach 20 12 3 5 +15 39
5 Leverkusen 20 10 4 6 +7 34
6 Schalke 04 20 9 7 4 +5 34
7 Hoffenheim 20 10 3 7 +0 33
8 Freiburg 20 8 5 7 -1 29
9 Ein Frankfurt 21 8 4 9 +6 28
10 Wolfsburg 20 7 6 7 -1 27
11 Augsburg 21 7 5 9 -11 26
12 Union Berlin 20 7 2 11 -9 23
13 Hertha 20 6 5 9 -10 23
14 FC Koln 20 7 2 11 -11 23
15 Mainz 20 6 0 14 -19 18
16 Werder Bremen 20 4 5 11 -21 17
17 Fortuna Dusseldorf 20 4 4 12 -22 16
18 Paderborn 20 4 3 13 -19 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Werder Bremen Union Berlin
Davie Selke 🟨
16′
Kevin Vogt 🟨
30′
Ömer Toprak 🟨
30′
Half-time 0–1
52′
M. Bülter 0–1
C. Lenz
64′
🔁 G. Prömel
↦ C. Gentner
64′
🔁 M. Ingvartsen
↦ Y. Mallı
67′
🟨 Christopher Trimmel
F. Bartels 🔁
↦ D. Selke
69′
J. Sargent 🔁
↦ Ö. Toprak
69′
72′
M. Bülter 0–2
C. Pizarro 🔁
↦ Y. Ōsako
77′
Marco Friedl 🟨
80′
80′
🟨 Grischa Prömel
86′
🟨 Sebastian Andersson
89′
🔁 J. Ryerson
↦ M. Bülter
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Werder Bremen

3-4-3
1 J. Pavlenka G
18 N. Moisander D
21 Ö. Toprak D
3 K. Vogt D
32 M. Friedl M
30 D. Klaassen M
10 L. Bittencourt M
7 M. Rashica F
35 M. Eggestein M
8 Y. Ōsako F
9 D. Selke F
Bench (9)
22 F. Bartels
19 J. Sargent
14 C. Pizarro
17 N. Şahin
36 C. Groß
13 M. Veljkovic
39 B. Goller
24 J. Eggestein
27 S. Kapino

Coach: F. Kohfeldt

Union Berlin

3-4-2-1
1 R. Gikiewicz G
3 N. Subotić D
19 F. Hübner D
28 C. Trimmel M
25 C. Lenz M
31 K. Schlotterbeck D
34 C. Gentner M
18 Y. Mallı F
30 R. Andrich M
15 M. Bülter F
10 S. Andersson F
Bench (9)
21 G. Prömel
32 M. Ingvartsen
6 J. Ryerson
27 S. Becker
11 A. Ujah
9 S. Polter
23 F. Kroos
35 M. Nicolas
29 M. Parensen

Coach: U. Fischer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,08
U
3,57
B ✓
3,48
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,74
U2,5 ✓
2,09
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Schlager · 124 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.