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Ekstraklasa
Gornik Zabrze
T S S T U
1–0
Full-time
Warta Poznan
S T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gornik Zabrze Warta Poznan
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,7
1,8
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
This season — Ekstraklasa · 6/7 matches
Win Ø 24%
33%
14%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
50%
29%
Both score Ø 47%
50%
43%
Average goals
2,7
2,1
Scored
1,2
1,1
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Gornik Zabrze 15. · Warta Poznan 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lech Poznan 8 5 3 0 +13 18
2 Slask Wroclaw 8 3 5 0 +4 14
3 Pogon Szczecin 8 3 4 1 +4 13
4 Lechia Gdansk 8 3 4 1 +3 13
5 Zaglebie 7 4 0 3 -3 12
6 Rakow 6 3 2 1 +2 11
7 Wisla 8 3 2 3 -1 11
8 Wisla Plock 8 3 1 4 +4 10
9 Radomiak Radom 7 2 4 1 +2 10
10 Piast Gliwice 8 3 1 4 +0 10
11 Jagiellonia 8 2 3 3 -2 9
12 Cracovia 8 2 3 3 -4 9
13 Stal Mielec 8 2 2 4 -6 8
14 Warta Poznan 7 1 4 2 +1 7
15 Gornik Zabrze 6 2 1 3 -2 7
16 Legia 5 2 0 3 -1 6
17 Leczna 7 1 2 4 -9 5
18 Nieciecza 7 0 3 4 -5 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.