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Ligue 1

Referee: C Turpin

Paris SG

S S S S S

2–1

Full-time

Lyon

U T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris SG Lyon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

100%

33%

Points per game

3,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,8

3,5

Scored

3,0

1,7

Conceded

0,8

1,8

Goal diff per game

+2,2

-0,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 70%

100%

40%

Points per game

3,0

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

80%

60%

Both score Ø 60%

60%

Average goals

4,2

3,2

Scored

3,2

1,6

Conceded

1,0

1,6

Goal diff per game

+2,2

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%

14 Shots 12

5 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

10 Corners 4

2 Offside 3

13 Free kicks against 19

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Paris SG 1. · Lyon 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	5	5	0	0	+11	15
2	Marseille	5	4	1	0	+7	13
3	Lens	6	3	3	0	+4	12
4	Nice	5	3	2	0	+10	11
5	Angers	6	3	2	1	+4	11
6	Clermont	6	2	3	1	+0	9
7	Lorient	6	2	3	1	+0	9
8	Montpellier	6	2	2	2	+2	8
9	Lyon	5	2	2	1	+0	8
10	Nantes	6	2	1	3	+1	7
11	Reims	6	1	4	1	+0	7
12	Strasbourg	6	2	1	3	-1	7
13	Troyes	6	1	2	3	-2	5
14	Monaco	6	1	2	3	-4	5
15	Lille	6	1	2	3	-5	5
16	Rennes	6	1	2	3	-5	5
17	Bordeaux	6	1	2	3	-6	5
18	Brest	6	0	4	2	-4	4
19	St Etienne	6	0	3	3	-5	3
20	Metz	6	0	3	3	-7	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Marseille	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Strasbourg	4	2	1	1	+3	7
3	Paris SG	2	2	0	0	+6	6
4	Montpellier	3	2	0	1	+3	6
5	Angers	3	2	0	1	+2	6
6	Lorient	2	2	0	0	+2	6
7	Nice	3	1	2	0	+4	5
8	Lyon	3	1	2	0	+2	5
9	Clermont	3	1	2	0	+2	5
10	Lens	3	1	2	0	+1	5
11	Rennes	3	1	1	1	-1	4
12	Nantes	3	1	0	2	-1	3
13	Lille	2	1	0	1	-3	3
14	St Etienne	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	Brest	3	0	2	1	-2	2
16	Metz	3	0	2	1	-2	2
17	Reims	3	0	2	1	-2	2
18	Troyes	3	0	1	2	-2	1
19	Bordeaux	3	0	1	2	-3	1
20	Monaco	3	0	1	2	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Lens	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Nice	2	2	0	0	+6	6
4	Marseille	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Angers	3	1	2	0	+2	5
6	Reims	3	1	2	0	+2	5
7	Nantes	3	1	1	1	+2	4
8	Monaco	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Troyes	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Clermont	3	1	1	1	-2	4
11	Bordeaux	3	1	1	1	-3	4
12	Lorient	4	0	3	1	-2	3
13	Lyon	2	1	0	1	-2	3
14	Montpellier	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	Lille	4	0	2	2	-2	2
16	Brest	3	0	2	1	-2	2
17	St Etienne	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	Rennes	3	0	1	2	-4	1
19	Metz	3	0	1	2	-5	1
20	Strasbourg	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.