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Championship
Referee: A Kitchen
Huddersfield
S T S T S
1–1
Full-time
Leeds
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Huddersfield Leeds
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,7
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,5
3,8
Scored
2,0
3,0
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+2,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Championship · 34/32 matches
Win Ø 44%
24%
63%
Points per game
1,1
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
50%
56%
Both score Ø 56%
68%
44%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,9
Conceded
1,6
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+1,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,16 xG 1,92
21% Possession 79%
12 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 8
0 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Huddersfield 19. · Leeds 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Leicester 34 25 3 6 +41 +28.3 78
2 Ipswich 34 21 9 4 +23 +20.2 72
3 Leeds 32 20 6 6 +35 +28.2 66
4 Southampton 32 18 7 7 +20 +22.1 61
5 West Brom 33 17 8 8 +21 +8.2 59
6 Hull 34 16 7 11 +7 +6.4 55
7 Norwich 32 15 7 10 +10 -2.2 52
8 Preston 34 15 7 12 -5 -11.9 52
9 Coventry 35 13 12 10 +10 +10.5 51
10 Sunderland 34 14 5 15 +7 +9.9 47
11 Watford 34 11 11 12 +3 +1.6 44
12 Bristol City 34 12 8 14 +0 -0.7 44
13 Middlesbrough 33 13 5 15 -2 +11.4 44
14 Cardiff 34 13 5 16 -9 -18.6 44
15 Plymouth 34 10 10 14 -4 -16.3 40
16 Blackburn 34 11 6 17 -12 -5.2 39
17 Swansea 34 10 9 15 -12 -10.6 39
18 Birmingham 33 10 8 15 -13 -6.2 38
19 Huddersfield 34 8 13 13 -15 -11.3 37
20 Millwall 34 9 9 16 -14 -10.9 36
21 QPR 34 9 8 17 -13 -9.6 35
22 Stoke 34 9 8 17 -17 -3.3 35
23 Sheffield Weds 34 9 5 20 -25 -7.1 32
24 Rotherham 34 3 10 21 -36 -32.9 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Huddersfield Leeds
Jonathan Hogg 🟨
20′
M. Helik 🔁
↦ Y. Nakayama
26′
David Kasumu 🟨
38′
Matthew Pearson 🟨
39′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 M. Helik
46′
A. Matos 🔁
↦ D. Ward
46′
Jonathan Hogg 🟨
49′
Jonathan Hogg 🟥
49′
62′
🔁 C. Roberts
↦ A. Gray
62′
🔁 D. James
↦ W. Gnonto
62′
🔁 J. Piroe
↦ G. Kamara
63′
🟨 Georginio Rutter
67′
P. Bamford 1–1
C. Roberts
J. Headley 🔁
↦ B. Spencer
72′
J. Koroma 🔁
↦ D. Burgzorg
73′
86′
🔁 J. Anthony
↦ Junior Firpo
Jaheim Headley 🟨
94′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Huddersfield

4-4-2
1 L. Nicholls G
17 B. Spencer D
4 M. Pearson D
32 T. Lees D
33 Y. Nakayama D
14 S. Thomas M
6 J. Hogg M
18 D. Kasumu M
7 D. Burgzorg M
8 J. Rudoni F
25 D. Ward F
Bench (9)
5 M. Helik
21 A. Matos
15 J. Headley
10 J. Koroma
23 B. Wiles
16 T. Edwards
9 B. Radulović
12 C. Maxwell
11 B. Diarra

Coach: A. Breitenreiter

Leeds

4-2-3-1
1 I. Meslier G
22 A. Gray D
14 J. Rodon D
4 E. Ampadu D
3 Junior Firpo D
44 I. Gruev M
8 G. Kamara M
29 W. Gnonto M
24 G. Rutter M
10 C. Summerville M
9 P. Bamford F
Bench (9)
33 C. Roberts
20 D. James
7 J. Piroe
12 J. Anthony
5 C. Cresswell
6 L. Cooper
49 M. Joseph
28 K. Darlow
25 S. Byram

Coach: D. Farke

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,57
U ✓
4,15
B
1,58
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,78
U2,5 ✓
2,03
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Kitchen · 82 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.