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Ekstraklasa
Referee: B Frankowski
Slask Wroclaw
U S T T U
2–1
Full-time
Widzew Lodz
T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Slask Wroclaw Widzew Lodz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,2
2,8
Scored
0,5
1,3
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 46%
55%
36%
Points per game
1,9
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
41%
50%
Both score Ø 57%
50%
64%
Average goals
2,2
2,7
Scored
1,4
1,3
Conceded
0,8
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,32 xG 0,93
43% Possession 57%
11 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
1 Corners 3
3 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 7
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Slask Wroclaw 2. · Widzew Lodz 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Jagiellonia 23 12 6 5 +18 +9.1 42
2 Slask Wroclaw 22 12 6 4 +14 +3.3 42
3 Lech Poznan 22 11 7 4 +10 -2.6 40
4 Pogon Szczecin 22 12 3 7 +18 +12.8 39
5 Legia 22 10 7 5 +7 +8.3 37
6 Rakow 21 10 6 5 +14 +14.6 36
7 Gornik Zabrze 23 10 5 8 +4 -2.8 35
8 Stal Mielec 22 9 5 8 -1 -8.0 32
9 Widzew Lodz 22 8 4 10 -3 -1.9 28
10 Warta Poznan 23 6 9 8 -4 -8.0 27
11 Zaglebie 22 7 6 9 -11 +1.9 27
12 Cracovia 23 5 11 7 -1 +0.2 26
13 Piast Gliwice 22 4 13 5 -3 +7.5 25
14 Radomiak Radom 22 6 7 9 -9 -1.4 25
15 Korona Kielce 21 4 10 7 -3 -2.5 22
16 Puszcza 21 5 7 9 -11 -14.9 22
17 Ruch Chorzow 23 2 12 9 -10 -4.2 18
18 LKS Lodz 22 2 4 16 -29 -11.4 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Slask Wroclaw Widzew Lodz
Alen Mustafić 🟨
3′
41′
🟨 Ernest Terpiłowski
43′
🟨 Bartłomiej Pawłowski
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 Fábio Nunes
↦ E. Terpiłowski
51′
🟨 Rafał Gikiewicz
1–0 Nahuel Leiva
53′
56′
🟨 Dominik Kun
63′
🔁 A. Klimek
↦ D. Tkacz
Erik Expósito 🔁
↦ P. Klimala
64′
70′
🔁 I. Rondić
↦ N. Diliberto
Yegor Matsenko 🟨
78′
2–0 Nahuel Leiva
P. Samiec-Talar
78′
A. Paluszek 🔁
↦ A. Mustafić
79′
Matías Nahuel ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
80′
84′
🟨 Jordi Sánchez
85′
🟨 Fábio Nunes
88′
🟨 Mateusz Żyro
93′
I. Rondić 2–1
B. Pawłowski
B. İnce 🔁
↦ Nahuel Leiva
94′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Slask Wroclaw

4-1-4-1
12 R. Leszczyński G
33 Y. Matsenko
4 Ł. Bejger D
5 A. Petkov D
19 P. Janasik D
28 M. Rzuchowski M
24 P. Samiec-Talar M
8 P. Olsen M
20 A. Mustafić M
10 Nahuel Leiva M
11 P. Klimala F
Bench (9)
9 Erik Expósito
2 A. Paluszek
26 B. İnce
78 T. Guercio
23 D. Łukasik
87 S. Petrov
27 M. Konczkowski
21 P. Szwedzik
35 K. Trelowski

Coach: J. Magiera

Widzew Lodz

4-3-3
1 R. Gikiewicz G
62 L. Kastrati D
4 M. Żyro D
5 S. Szota D
2 Luís Silva D
44 N. Diliberto M
22 D. Kun M
19 B. Pawłowski M
13 E. Terpiłowski F
9 Jordi Sánchez F
8 D. Tkacz F
Bench (7)
92 Fábio Nunes
47 A. Klimek
99 I. Rondić
88 I. Dawid
35 I. Krajčírik
21 P. Kwiatkowski
78 K. Cybulski

Coach: D. Myśliwiec

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Frankowski · 85 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.