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Premiership
Referee: C Graham
ST Johnstone
T T T T S
1–1
Full-time
Livingston
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

ST Johnstone Livingston
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,0
This season — Premiership · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 16%
21%
11%
Points per game
1,0
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
29%
43%
Both score Ø 40%
36%
43%
Average goals
2,0
2,4
Scored
0,7
0,7
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

61% Possession 39%
10 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match ST Johnstone 10. · Livingston 12. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 28 23 1 4 +49 70
2 Celtic 28 21 5 2 +48 68
3 Hearts 28 16 4 8 +8 52
4 Kilmarnock 28 10 10 8 +3 40
5 St Mirren 28 11 6 11 +1 39
6 Dundee 27 8 8 11 -11 32
7 Hibernian 27 7 10 10 -9 31
8 Motherwell 28 6 11 11 -6 29
9 Aberdeen 27 6 9 12 -14 27
10 ST Johnstone 28 6 9 13 -18 27
11 Ross County 27 5 8 14 -22 23
12 Livingston 28 3 7 18 -29 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

27. Dec -23 Livingston – ST Johnstone 0–0 30. Sep -23 ST Johnstone – Livingston 1–1 28. May -23 ST Johnstone – Livingston 2–0 15. Apr -23 Livingston – ST Johnstone 2–0 14. Jan -23 ST Johnstone – Livingston 2–4

Match report

ST Johnstone Livingston
Luke Robinson 🟨
30′
37′
⚽ A. Shinnie 0–1
M. Devlin
Sven Sprangler 🟨
40′
Half-time 0–1
G. Carey 🔁
↦ D. Jaiyesimi
49′
50′
🔁 K. Guthrie
↦ M. Devlin
S. May 🔁
↦ B. Mbunga Kimpioka
56′
A. Considine 🔁
↦ L. Gordon
56′
68′
🟨 Cristian Montano
A. Sidibeh 🔁
↦ M. Smith
77′
82′
🔁 J. Nouble
↦ D. Mackay
85′
🔁 M. Sangare
↦ C. Montaño
85′
🔁 J. Brandon
↦ A. Shinnie
1–1 N. Clark ⚽
G. Carey
87′
97′
🟨 Kurtis Guthrie
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

ST Johnstone

4-2-3-1
1 D. Mitov G
33 D. Keltjens D
5 R. McGowan D
6 L. Gordon D
19 L. Robinson D
23 S. Sprangler M
34 D. Phillips M
22 M. Smith M
10 N. Clark M
13 D. Jaiyesimi M
29 B. Mbunga Kimpioka F
Bench (9)
11 G. Carey
7 S. May
4 A. Considine
16 A. Sidibeh
3 T. Gallacher
50 C. Smith
31 D. Richards
35 K. Smith
15 M. Kucheriavyi

Coach: C. Levein

Livingston

4-2-3-1
1 S. George G
21 M. Nottingham D
6 A. Obileye D
5 M. Devlin D
24 S. Kelly D
4 D. Carson M
18 J. Holt M
11 D. Mackay M
22 A. Shinnie M
3 C. Montaño M
33 T. Yengi F
Bench (9)
28 K. Guthrie
19 J. Nouble
20 M. Sangare
12 J. Brandon
9 B. Anderson
23 M. McGovern
10 S. Kelly
16 S. Bradley
36 S. Culbert

Coach: D. Martindale

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,34
🔒
U ✓
3,16
🔒
B
3,16
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
2,29
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,60
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

C Graham · 44 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.