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Premiership
Referee: N Walsh
St Mirren
S S T S U
2–1
Full-time
Aberdeen
T U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Mirren Aberdeen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,8
3,2
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
0,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,8
This season — Premiership · 28/27 matches
Win Ø 31%
39%
22%
Points per game
1,4
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
39%
48%
Both score Ø 39%
29%
48%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
1,1
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

68% Possession 32%
14 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 2
2 Offside 4
16 Free kicks against 22
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Mirren 5. · Aberdeen 10. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 28 23 1 4 +49 70
2 Celtic 28 21 5 2 +48 68
3 Hearts 28 16 4 8 +8 52
4 Kilmarnock 28 10 10 8 +3 40
5 St Mirren 28 11 6 11 +1 39
6 Dundee 27 8 8 11 -11 32
7 Hibernian 27 7 10 10 -9 31
8 Motherwell 28 6 11 11 -6 29
9 ST Johnstone 29 6 10 13 -18 28
10 Aberdeen 27 6 9 12 -14 27
11 Ross County 27 5 8 14 -22 23
12 Livingston 29 3 8 18 -29 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

30. Dec -23 Aberdeen – St Mirren 0–3 27. Aug -23 St Mirren – Aberdeen 2–2 24. May -23 Aberdeen – St Mirren 3–0 1. Feb -23 Aberdeen – St Mirren 1–3 24. Dec -22 St Mirren – Aberdeen 3–1

Match report

St Mirren Aberdeen
1′
⚽ C. Barron 0–1
45′
🟨 Bojan Miovski
Half-time 0–1
T. Olusanya 🔁
↦ L. Jamieson
46′
C. McMenamin 🔁
↦ E. Bwomono
61′
J. Ayunga 🔁
↦ G. Kiltie
62′
63′
🔁 J. McGrath
↦ J. Hoilett
64′
🔁 J. McGarry
↦ Duk
71′
🟨 James McGarry
R. Taylor 🔁
↦ J. Bolton
81′
M. O'Hara 🔁
↦ C. Boyd-Munce
81′
87′
🟨 Graeme Shinnie
Toyosi Olusanya ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
94′
Alexander Gogić 🟨
95′
96′
🟨 Nicky Devlin
1–1 M. O'Hara ⚽
96′
2–1 T. Olusanya ⚽
M. Mandron
97′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

St Mirren

3-4-3
1 Z. Hemming G
2 J. Bolton D
13 A. Gogić D
22 M. Fraser D
42 E. Bwomono M
16 Kwon Hyeok-Kyu M
15 C. Boyd-Munce M
3 S. Tanser M
24 L. Jamieson F
9 M. Mandron F
11 G. Kiltie F
Bench (9)
20 T. Olusanya
10 C. McMenamin
7 J. Ayunga
5 R. Taylor
6 M. O'Hara
14 J. Scott
21 J. Brown
18 C. Dunne
27 P. Urminský

Coach: S. Robinson

Aberdeen

4-2-3-1
24 K. Roos G
2 N. Devlin D
6 S. Gartenmann D
27 A. MacDonald D
5 R. Jensen D
8 C. Barron M
4 G. Shinnie M
11 Duk M
18 K. Phillips M
30 J. Hoilett M
9 B. Miovski F
Bench (9)
7 J. McGrath
15 J. McGarry
31 R. Doohan
17 J. Hayes
21 D. Polvara
19 E. Sokler
28 J. Milne
23 R. Duncan
10 L. Clarkson

Coach: N. Warnock

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,27
🔒
U
3,35
🔒
B
3,10
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,03
🔒
U2,5
1,77
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

N Walsh · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.