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League Cup
Referee: M Coy
Accrington ST
S S U S T
1–1
Full-time
Bradford
S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Accrington ST Bradford
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/3 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

50% Possession 50%
11 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 6
12 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Accrington ST Bradford
Liam Coyle 🟨
32′
Shaun Whalley 🟨
39′
Half-time 0–1
46′
⚽ A. Pattison 0–1
T. Leigh 🔁
↦ L. Coyle
46′
60′
🟨 Brad Halliday
J. Andrews 🔁
↦ M. Lowe
64′
J. Nolan 🔁
↦ C. OBrien
64′
1–1 J. Andrews ⚽
J. Nolan
66′
74′
🔁 L. Hendrie
↦ L. Ridehalgh
74′
🔁 A. Gilliead
↦ R. Smallwood
86′
🟨 Sam Stubbs
Brad Hills 🟨
87′
O. Patrick 🔁
↦ R. Longelo-Mbule
90′
103′
🔁 T. Smith
↦ A. Pattison
121′
⚽ A. Cook 1–2
2–2 T. Leigh ⚽
122′
123′
⚽ A. Gilliead 2–3
J. Nolan ❌
penalty missed
124′
125′
⚽ J. Walker 2–4
K. Adedoyin ❌
penalty missed
126′
127′
⚽ C. Oduor 2–5
Full-time 2–5

Line-ups

Accrington ST

4-2-3-1
1 T. Savin G
12 S. Quirk D
25 A. Pickles D
5 B. Hills D
38 C. O'Brien D
6 L. Coyle M
22 D. Martin M
14 R. Longelo-Mbule M
55 K. Adedoyin M
7 S. Whalley M
9 M. Lowe F
Bench (9)
18 T. Leigh
19 J. Andrews
17 J. Nolan
20 O. Patrick
28 S. Conneely
13 L. Isherwood
3 J. Rich-Baghuelou
11 S. McConville
33 A. Popoola

Coach: J. Coleman

Bradford

3-4-2-1
1 H. Lewis G
5 M. Platt D
15 S. Stubbs D
18 C. Kelly D
2 B. Halliday M
10 A. Pattison M
6 R. Smallwood M
3 L. Ridehalgh M
12 C. Oduor F
7 J. Walker F
9 A. Cook F
Bench (9)
17 L. Hendrie
11 A. Gilliead
14 T. Smith
27 M. Derbyshire
13 C. Doyle
21 O. Odusina
26 K. McDonald
16 R. East
8 E. Osadebe

Coach: M. Hughes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Coy · 12 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.