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League Cup
Referee: D Middleton
2–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sutton Utd Cambridge United
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/5 matches
Win Ø 10%
0%
20%
Points per game
0,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 20%
0%
40%
Both score Ø 10%
0%
20%
Average goals
1,5
1,4
Scored
0,0
0,4
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

46% Possession 54%
20 Shots 16
9 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 7
4 Corners 5
6 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 10
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Sutton Utd Cambridge United
18′
⚽ F. Okenabirhie 0–1
1–1 H. Smith ⚽
38′
Half-time 1–1
J. Rose 🔁
↦ S. Arnold
46′
B. Goodliffe 🔁
↦ L. John
46′
60′
⚽ F. Okenabirhie 1–2
61′
🔁 J. Lankester
↦ E. Kachunga
61′
🔁 G. Thomas
↦ J. Brophy
L. Angol 🔁
↦ H. Smith
65′
C. Eastmond 🔁
↦ J. Coley
65′
71′
🔁 P. Digby
↦ J. Cousins
71′
🔁 D. Andrew
↦ Z. Rossi
80′
🔁 G. Yahyai
↦ F. Okenabirhie
2–2 H. Beautyman ⚽
82′
S. Kashket 🔁
↦ H. Beautyman
83′
3–2 C. Eastmond ⚽
121′
122′
⚽ G. Yahyai 3–3
4–3 L. Angol ⚽
123′
124′
⚽ J. Lankester 4–4
5–4 R. Milsom ⚽
125′
126′
⚽ D. Andrew 5–5
B. Goodliffe ❌
penalty missed
127′
128′
❌ G. Thomas
penalty missed
6–5 S. Kashket ⚽
129′
130′
⚽ P. Digby 6–6
7–6 O. Patrick ⚽
131′
132′
⚽ S. Janneh 7–7
8–7 A. O'Brien ⚽
133′
134′
❌ H. Dunk
penalty missed
Full-time 8–7

Line-ups

Sutton Utd

4-4-2
25 S. Arnold G
22 J. Kizzi D
4 O. Sowunmi D
6 L. John D
24 R. Milsom D
7 J. Coley M
10 H. Beautyman M
16 C. Clay M
11 O. Patrick M
9 H. Smith F
40 A. O'Brien F
Bench (9)
1 J. Rose
5 B. Goodliffe
33 L. Angol
15 C. Eastmond
20 S. Kashket
28 O. Khinda
19 T. Fadahunsi
29 H. Kasimu
35 J. Taylor

Coach: M. Gray

Cambridge United

4-2-3-1
25 W. Mannion G
2 L. Bennett D
15 J. Okedina D
16 Z. Rossi D
11 H. Dunk D
24 J. Cousins M
22 L. Simper M
7 J. Brophy M
21 E. Kachunga M
17 S. Janneh M
9 F. Okenabirhie F
Bench (7)
10 J. Lankester
8 G. Thomas
4 P. Digby
3 D. Andrew
23 G. Yahyai
13 J. Holden
30 G. McConnell

Coach: M. Bonner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
–
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.