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Serie A
Referee: M Guida
Udinese
T T U U S
1–1
Full-time
Empoli
T S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Udinese Empoli
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,2
1,8
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Serie A · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 18%
14%
22%
Points per game
0,9
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 35%
39%
31%
Both score Ø 43%
58%
28%
Average goals
2,4
2,2
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
1,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,74 xG 0,86
47% Possession 53%
8 Shots 4
2 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 5
1 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 7
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Udinese 16. · Empoli 18.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Inter 36 29 5 2 +67 +46.1 92
2 Milan 37 22 8 7 +27 +19.3 74
3 Bologna 36 18 13 5 +24 +11.1 67
4 Juventus 36 18 13 5 +21 +26.0 67
5 Atalanta 36 20 6 10 +28 +14.8 66
6 Roma 36 17 9 10 +19 +10.6 60
7 Lazio 36 18 5 13 +10 +5.0 59
8 Fiorentina 36 15 9 12 +13 +4.6 54
9 Torino 37 13 14 10 +3 +2.3 53
10 Napoli 37 13 13 11 +7 +21.9 52
11 Genoa 36 11 13 12 -1 -7.3 46
12 Monza 36 11 12 13 -9 -15.4 45
13 Lecce 37 8 13 16 -22 -9.7 37
14 Cagliari 37 8 12 17 -25 -11.7 36
15 Verona 36 8 10 18 -14 -11.8 34
16 Udinese 36 5 18 13 -17 -9.9 33
17 Frosinone 36 7 11 18 -25 -14.5 32
18 Empoli 36 8 8 20 -26 -18.0 32
19 Sassuolo 37 7 8 22 -32 -21.7 29
20 Salernitana 36 2 10 24 -48 -41.9 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Udinese Empoli
-5′
🟨 Alberto Grassi
-5′
🟥 Alberto Grassi
4′
🟨 Alberto Grassi
Brenner 🔁
↦ I. Success
7′
30′
🔁 M. Niang
↦ A. Cerri
Nehuén Pérez 🟨
34′
39′
ℹ️ Youssef Maleh
VAR: Goal cancelled
Half-time 0–0
54′
🟨 Simone Bastoni
F. Ebosele 🔁
↦ K. Ehizibue
55′
K. Davis 🔁
↦ Brenner
55′
59′
🔁 S. Walukiewicz
↦ B. Bereszyński
59′
🔁 J. Fazzini
↦ S. Bastoni
64′
🟨 Ardian Ismajli
75′
🟨 Emmanuel Gyasi
81′
🔁 R. Marin
↦ A. Grassi
81′
🔁 N. Cambiaghi
↦ M. Cancellieri
Oier Zarraga 🔁
↦ Walace
87′
João Ferreira 🔁
↦ H. Kamara
87′
90′
M. Niang 0–1
96′
🟨 Răzvan Marin
Martín Payero ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
99′
102′
🟨 Jacopo Fazzini
1–1 L. Samardžić
104′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Udinese

3-4-2-1
40 M. Okoye G
31 T. Kristensen D
29 J. Bijol D
18 N. Pérez D
19 K. Ehizibue M
11 Walace M
32 M. Payero M
12 H. Kamara M
24 L. Samardžić F
7 I. Success F
17 L. Lucca F
Bench (15)
22 Brenner
2 F. Ebosele
9 K. Davis
6 Oier Zarraga
13 João Ferreira
33 J. Zemura
73 M. Palma
37 R. Pereyra
14 J. Abankwah
93 D. Padelli
79 D. Pejičić
30 L. Gianetti
70 F. Mosca
27 C. Kabasele
16 A. Tikvić

Coach: F. Cannavaro

Empoli

3-5-2
25 E. Caprile G
19 B. Bereszyński D
34 A. Ismajli D
33 S. Luperto D
11 E. Gyasi M
30 S. Bastoni M
5 A. Grassi M
29 Y. Maleh M
3 G. Pezzella M
17 A. Cerri F
20 M. Cancellieri F
Bench (14)
10 M. Niang
4 S. Walukiewicz
21 J. Fazzini
18 R. Marin
28 N. Cambiaghi
1 S. Perisan
27 S. Żurkowski
12 J. Seghetti
2 S. Goglichidze
9 F. Caputo
23 M. Destro
7 S. Shpendi
8 V. Kovalenko
13 L. Cacace

Coach: D. Nicola

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,04
U ✓
3,32
B
3,90
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,26
U2,5 ✓
1,65
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Guida · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.