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LaLiga2
Referee: Iosu Galech
Burgos
U U U S S
2–1
Full-time
Mirandes
T S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burgos Mirandes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
0,7
2,3
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
0,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,0
This season — LaLiga2 · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 25%
40%
10%
Points per game
1,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
10%
40%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
0,6
2,4
Scored
0,6
0,9
Conceded
0,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

31% Possession 69%
7 Shots 26
2 Shots on target 8
1 Blocked shots 10
7 Goalkeeper saves 0
2 Corners 8
1 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 0
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Burgos 4. · Mirandes 21.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Las Palmas 11 6 5 0 +11 23
2 Alaves 11 6 4 1 +4 22
3 Albacete 11 5 4 2 +3 19
4 Burgos 10 4 6 0 +6 18
5 Eibar 10 5 3 2 +5 18
6 Granada 10 5 2 3 +6 17
7 Cartagena 10 5 2 3 +3 17
8 Huesca 11 4 4 3 +3 16
9 Levante 11 4 4 3 +3 16
10 Sp Gijon 10 4 3 3 +0 15
11 Andorra 11 4 3 4 -1 15
12 Villarreal B 11 3 4 4 -2 13
13 Zaragoza 11 3 4 4 -2 13
14 Santander 11 3 3 5 -3 12
15 Ponferradina 11 3 3 5 -4 12
16 Tenerife 10 2 5 3 -1 11
17 Ibiza 10 3 2 5 -5 11
18 Leganes 11 3 1 7 -4 10
19 Oviedo 11 2 4 5 -4 10
20 Lugo 10 2 3 5 -4 9
21 Mirandes 10 1 4 5 -6 7
22 Malaga 10 1 3 6 -8 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Burgos Mirandes
1–0 Gaspar Campos
Pablo Valcarce
25′
José Antonio Caro 🟥
28′
Dani Barrio 🔁
↦ Pablo Valcarce
31′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Nico Serrano
↦ Roberto López
Jesús Areso 🟨
50′
72′
🔁 S. Mráz
↦ Óscar Pinchi
Raúl Navarro 🔁
↦ Álex Bermejo
75′
Miki Muñoz 🔁
↦ Curro Sánchez
75′
Mourad 🔁
↦ Gaspar Campos
75′
82′
🔁 Javi Serrano
↦ Raúl Parra
Miguel Muñoz Mora 🟨
91′
94′
🔁 Manu García
↦ José Salinas
94′
Marcos Paulo 1–1
Raúl Navas
Saúl Berjón 🔁
↦ José Matos
97′
2–1 Mourad 2
Saúl Berjón
102′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Burgos

4-2-3-1
13 José Caro G
19 Jesús Areso D
18 Aitor Córdoba D
4 Míchel Zabaco D
23 José Matos D
14 Unai Elgezabal M
5 Miguel Atienza M
10 Álex Bermejo M
16 Curro Sánchez M
11 Gaspar Campos M
8 Pablo Valcarce F
Bench (9)
1 Dani Barrio
6 Raúl Navarro
22 Miki Muñoz
9 Mourad
21 Saúl Berjón
20 Grego Sierra
2 Borja González
7 Juan Artola
15 Juan Hernández

Coach: Julián Calero

Mirandes

4-4-2
13 Alfonso Herrero G
3 Raúl Parra D
4 Álex Martín D
16 Raúl Navas D
12 José Salinas D
21 Roberto López M
6 Beñat Prados M
20 Oriol Rey M
23 Marcos Paulo M
14 Óscar Pinchi F
9 Raúl García F
Bench (9)
7 Nico Serrano
17 S. Mráz
5 Javi Serrano
19 Manu García
8 Juanlu Sánchez
29 Juan Durán
1 Ramón Juan
26 Barbu
10 César Gelabert

Coach: Joseba Etxeberria

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,81
U
3,31
B
4,70
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,21
U2,5
1,64
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Iosu Galech · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.