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La Liga
Referee: Guillermo Cuadra
Celta
S T T S T
1–2
Full-time
Sociedad
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celta Sociedad
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
1,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,3
Scored
1,0
2,5
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,7
This season — La Liga · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 51%
38%
63%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
63%
50%
Both score Ø 51%
38%
63%
Average goals
2,9
3,0
Scored
1,1
1,6
Conceded
1,8
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

54% Possession 46%
10 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 6
2 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 17
5 Yellow cards 7
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Celta 11. · Sociedad 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 8 7 1 0 +19 22
2 Real Madrid 8 7 1 0 +12 22
3 Ath Madrid 9 6 1 2 +8 19
4 Ath Bilbao 9 5 2 2 +11 17
5 Betis 8 5 1 2 +5 16
6 Sociedad 8 5 1 2 +2 16
7 Valencia 9 4 2 3 +6 14
8 Osasuna 8 4 1 3 +1 13
9 Villarreal 8 3 3 2 +7 12
10 Vallecano 9 3 2 4 -2 11
11 Celta 8 3 1 4 -5 10
12 Mallorca 9 2 3 4 -3 9
13 Sevilla 9 2 3 4 -5 9
14 Girona 9 2 2 5 -3 8
15 Valladolid 8 2 2 4 -7 8
16 Getafe 9 2 2 5 -8 8
17 Almeria 8 2 1 5 -5 7
18 Espanol 8 1 3 4 -5 6
19 Cadiz 9 1 3 5 -13 6
20 Elche 9 0 3 6 -15 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Celta Sociedad
24′
🟨 Asier Illarramendi
28′
🔁 Diego Rico
↦ Aihen Muñoz
30′
Illarramendi 0–1
1–1 Iago Aspas
39′
45′
🟨 Robin Le Normand
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 Mikel Merino
↦ Illarramendi
49′
🟨 Martín Zubimendi
Hugo Mallo 🟨
49′
Jørgen Strand Larsen 🟨
53′
54′
Zubeldia 1–2
Brais Méndez
Óscar Mingueza 🔁
↦ Hugo Mallo
65′
Carles Pérez 🔁
↦ Gabri Veiga
65′
68′
🟨 David Silva
68′
🔁 Elustondo
↦ Gorosabel
69′
🟨 Igor Zubeldia
75′
🔁 Robert Navarro
↦ David Silva
75′
🔁 Barrenetxea
↦ T. Kubo
Carles Pérez 🟨
77′
Gonçalo Paciência 🔁
↦ F. Cervi
79′
Óscar Mingueza 🟨
81′
89′
🟨 Ander Barrenetxea
Agustín Marchesín 🟨
92′
93′
🟨 Robert Navarro
Gonçalo Paciência 🟥
94′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Celta

4-1-3-2
1 A. Marchesín G
2 Hugo Mallo D
15 J. Aidoo D
4 Unai Núñez D
17 Javier Galán D
8 Fran Beltrán M
5 Óscar Rodríguez M
28 Gabri Veiga M
11 F. Cervi M
10 Iago Aspas F
18 J. Strand Larsen F
Bench (10)
3 Óscar Mingueza
7 Carles Pérez
9 Gonçalo Paciência
13 Iván Villar
14 R. Tapia
23 L. de la Torre
19 W. Swedberg
26 Carlos Domínguez
20 Kevin Vázquez
21 A. Solari

Coach: E. Coudet

Sociedad

4-4-2
1 Álex Remiro G
18 Gorosabel D
5 Zubeldia D
24 R. Le Normand D
12 Aihen Muñoz D
23 Brais Méndez M
3 Martín Zubimendi M
4 Illarramendi M
21 David Silva M
14 T. Kubo F
19 A. Sørloth F
Bench (12)
15 Diego Rico
8 Mikel Merino
6 Elustondo
17 Robert Navarro
7 Barrenetxea
13 Andoni Zubiaurre
30 Urko González
22 Beñat Turrientes
9 Carlos Fernández
16 Guevara
33 Jon Karrikaburu
20 Jon Pacheco

Coach: Imanol Alguacil

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,58
U
3,25
B ✓
2,88
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,22
U2,5
1,67
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Guillermo Cuadra · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.