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Bundesliga
Referee: F Zwayer
FC Koln
U S T T T
3–2
Full-time
Augsburg
T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Koln Augsburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,8
2,0
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
2,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
This season — Bundesliga · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 39%
33%
44%
Points per game
1,4
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
56%
44%
Both score Ø 61%
78%
44%
Average goals
3,4
2,4
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

64% Possession 36%
14 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 3
0 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match FC Koln 11. · Augsburg 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Union Berlin 9 6 2 1 +10 20
2 Freiburg 9 5 3 1 +6 18
3 Hoffenheim 10 5 2 3 +7 17
4 Ein Frankfurt 10 5 2 3 +4 17
5 Bayern Munich 9 4 4 1 +17 16
6 M'gladbach 10 4 4 2 +4 16
7 Dortmund 9 5 1 3 +1 16
8 Werder Bremen 10 4 3 3 +4 15
9 RB Leipzig 10 4 3 3 +2 15
10 Mainz 10 4 3 3 -2 15
11 FC Koln 9 3 4 2 +1 13
12 Augsburg 9 4 1 4 -4 13
13 Wolfsburg 10 2 4 4 -6 10
14 Stuttgart 10 1 5 4 -2 8
15 Hertha 10 1 5 4 -3 8
16 Leverkusen 10 2 2 6 -7 8
17 Schalke 04 10 1 3 6 -14 6
18 Bochum 10 1 1 8 -18 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

FC Koln Augsburg
14′
F. Niederlechner 0–1
F. Winther
22′
🟨 Mergim Berisha
36′
🟨 Ruben Vargas
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 D. Caligiuri
↦ R. Vargas
1–1 S. Tigges
L. Maina
47′
54′
🟨 Iago
2–1 D. Huseinbašić
61′
Ondrej Duda 🟨
62′
68′
D. Caligiuri 2–2
F. Niederlechner
M. Uth 🔁
↦ O. Duda
72′
74′
🔁 L. Petkov
↦ F. Niederlechner
K. Schindler 🔁
↦ D. Huseinbašić
78′
S. Adamyan 🔁
↦ L. Maina
78′
79′
🟨 Lukas Petkov
3–2 S. Tigges
81′
84′
🔁 J. Baumgartlinger
↦ C. Gruezo
84′
🔁 M. Pedersen
↦ R. Framberger
F. Dietz 🔁
↦ S. Tigges
89′
Mark Uth 🟨
90′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

FC Koln

4-1-3-2
20 M. Schwäbe G
2 B. Schmitz D
15 L. Kilian D
4 T. Hübers D
14 J. Hector D
28 E. Skhiri M
8 D. Huseinbašić M
18 O. Duda M
6 E. Martel M
37 L. Maina F
21 S. Tigges F
Bench (9)
13 M. Uth
17 K. Schindler
23 S. Adamyan
33 F. Dietz
1 T. Horn
46 R. Smajić
3 K. Pedersen
45 J. Schwirten
5 N. Soldo

Coach: S. Baumgart

Augsburg

4-4-2
40 T. Koubek G
32 R. Framberger D
2 R. Gumny D
26 F. Winther D
22 Iago D
16 R. Vargas M
8 C. Gruezo M
13 E. Rexhbeçaj M
9 E. Demirović M
7 F. Niederlechner F
11 M. Berisha F
Bench (8)
20 D. Caligiuri
21 L. Petkov
14 J. Baumgartlinger
3 M. Pedersen
42 A. Zehnter
41 D. Katić
47 J. Mbila
25 D. Klein

Coach: E. Maaßen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,69
U
4,17
B
4,72
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,61
U2,5
2,34
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Zwayer · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.