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Taça de Portugal

Vila Meã

S T S S S

2–1

Full-time

Leixoes

S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vila Meã Leixoes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,0

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,0

Scored

2,0

1,2

Conceded

0,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,3

This season — Taça de Portugal · 3/2 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,0

Scored

2,7

1,5

Conceded

0,3

0,5

Goal diff per game

+2,3

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Vila Meã 3. · Leixoes 24. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lusitano Évora 1911	4	4	0	0	+12	12
2	Caldas	3	3	0	0	+8	9
3	Vila Meã	3	3	0	0	+7	9
4	Comércio Indústria	3	3	0	0	+6	9
5	Espinho	3	2	1	0	+5	7
6	União de Leiria	3	2	1	0	+4	7
7	Academico Viseu	3	2	1	0	+4	7
8	Torreense	3	2	1	0	+3	7
9	1º Dezembro	4	2	1	1	+0	7
10	Mortágua	4	2	1	1	-1	7
11	Porto	2	2	0	0	+7	6
12	Lusitânia Lourosa	3	2	0	1	+6	6
13	Casa Pia	2	2	0	0	+6	6
14	Alpendorada	3	2	0	1	+5	6
15	Guimaraes	2	2	0	0	+5	6
16	Farense	2	2	0	0	+5	6
17	CD Olivais e Moscavide	3	2	0	1	+4	6
18	Sp Lisbon	2	2	0	0	+4	6
19	Famalicao	2	2	0	0	+4	6
20	Benfica	2	2	0	0	+4	6
21	Amarante	3	2	0	1	+2	6
22	Silves	2	2	0	0	+2	6
23	CF Os Belenenses	3	2	0	1	+2	6
24	Leixoes	2	2	0	0	+2	6
25	Fafe	2	2	0	0	+2	6
26	Vianense	3	2	0	1	+1	6
27	Vila Caíz	3	2	0	1	+1	6
28	Atlético CP	3	2	0	1	+1	6
29	Vila Real	3	2	0	1	-1	6
30	Sintrense	3	2	0	1	-1	6
31	AD Marco 09	3	2	0	1	-1	6
32	Celoricense	3	2	0	1	-2	6
33	Marinhense	4	1	2	1	+3	5
34	Anadia	3	1	2	0	+1	5
35	AVS	2	1	1	0	+7	4
36	Ovarense	2	1	1	0	+6	4
37	Benfica Castelo Branco	2	1	1	0	+6	4
38	Moncarapachense	2	1	1	0	+3	4
39	Gouveia	2	1	1	0	+2	4
40	Oliveirense	2	1	1	0	+2	4
41	Os Marialvas	2	1	1	0	+1	4
42	SC Covilha	3	1	1	1	-1	4
43	Peniche	2	1	0	1	+7	3
44	Sacavenense	2	1	0	1	+5	3
45	Atlético Malveira	2	1	0	1	+5	3
46	Louletano	2	1	0	1	+4	3
47	Bragança	2	1	0	1	+4	3
48	Tondela	1	1	0	0	+4	3
49	Trofense	2	1	0	1	+3	3
50	Felgueiras 1932	2	1	0	1	+2	3
51	O Elvas	2	1	0	1	+2	3
52	Nacional	1	1	0	0	+2	3
53	FC Serpa	2	1	0	1	+2	3
54	Naval 1893	2	1	0	1	+2	3
55	São João Ver	2	1	0	1	+1	3
56	Arouca	1	1	0	0	+1	3
57	Rebordosa	2	1	0	1	+1	3
58	Sp Braga	1	1	0	0	+1	3
59	Salgueiros	2	1	0	1	+0	3
60	Portimonense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
61	Pacos Ferreira	2	1	0	1	+0	3
62	Estoril	2	1	0	1	+0	3
63	Correlhã	2	1	0	1	+0	3
64	Chaves	2	1	0	1	+0	3
65	Oriental Lisboa	2	1	0	1	+0	3
66	Mirandela	2	1	0	1	+0	3
67	União Lamas	2	1	0	1	+0	3
68	Uniao Nogueirense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
69	Nazarenos	2	1	0	1	+0	3
70	Ançã	2	1	0	1	-1	3
71	Monção	2	1	0	1	-1	3
72	Machico	2	1	0	1	-1	3
73	Resende	2	1	0	1	-1	3
74	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	2	1	0	1	-3	3
75	Brito	2	1	0	1	-4	3
76	Castrense	2	1	0	1	-4	3
77	AD Fornos Algodres	2	1	0	1	-5	3
78	Alverca	1	0	1	0	+0	1
79	Samora Correir	1	0	1	0	+0	1
80	Penafiel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
81	Olímpico do Montijo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
82	Santa Clara	1	0	1	0	+0	1
83	Rebordelo	2	0	1	1	-2	1
84	Portimonense B	2	0	1	1	-2	1
85	Charneca Caparica	2	0	1	1	-2	1
86	Rio Ave	1	0	0	1	-1	0
87	Oliveira Hospital	1	0	0	1	-1	0
88	Eléctrico	1	0	0	1	-1	0
89	Camacha	1	0	0	1	-1	0
90	Gil Vicente	1	0	0	1	-1	0
91	Maria da Fonte	1	0	0	1	-1	0
92	Alcochetense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
93	Vizela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
94	Fazendense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
95	Tirsense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
96	Lagoa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
97	AR São Martinho	1	0	0	1	-1	0
98	Castro Daire	1	0	0	1	-1	0
99	Vitória de Sernache	1	0	0	1	-1	0
100	Carregal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
101	Academica	1	0	0	1	-1	0
102	Juventude Évora	1	0	0	1	-1	0
103	Moreirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
104	Feirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
105	Vilaverdense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
106	Quarteirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
107	Amora	1	0	0	1	-1	0
108	Ribeira Brava	1	0	0	1	-1	0
109	Florgrade	1	0	0	1	-1	0
110	Cinfães	1	0	0	1	-1	0
111	Mafra	1	0	0	1	-1	0
112	Celeirós	1	0	0	1	-1	0
113	Sourense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
114	Águias do Moradal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
115	Pontassolense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
116	Beira-Mar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
117	Estrela	1	0	0	1	-2	0
118	Aparecida GO	1	0	0	1	-2	0
119	Vinhais	1	0	0	1	-2	0
120	Leça	1	0	0	1	-2	0
121	União Santarém	1	0	0	1	-2	0
122	Paredes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
123	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
124	UD da Serra	1	0	0	1	-2	0
125	Valpaços	1	0	0	1	-2	0
126	Vidago	1	0	0	1	-2	0
127	Valenciano	1	0	0	1	-3	0
128	Lusitânia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
129	Viana Alentejo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
130	Portel	1	0	0	1	-3	0
131	Fátima	1	0	0	1	-3	0
132	Académico do Fundão	1	0	0	1	-3	0
133	Portalegrense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
134	Varzim	1	0	0	1	-4	0
135	Almodôvar	1	0	0	1	-4	0
136	Sanjoanense	1	0	0	1	-4	0
137	AD Portomosense	1	0	0	1	-4	0
138	Os Limianos	1	0	0	1	-4	0
139	Operário	1	0	0	1	-5	0
140	Fayal	1	0	0	1	-5	0
141	Angrense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
142	Estrela Calheta	1	0	0	1	-6	0
143	SC Celoricense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
144	Mosteirense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
145	Urzelinense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
146	Lajense	2	0	0	2	-7	0
147	Rabo Peixe	1	0	0	1	-7	0
148	Ferreira Zêzere	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Caldas	3	3	0	0	+8	9
2	Comércio Indústria	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Alpendorada	3	2	0	1	+5	6
4	Lusitano Évora 1911	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Sintrense	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Silves	2	2	0	0	+2	6
7	CF Os Belenenses	3	2	0	1	+2	6
8	Vila Caíz	2	2	0	0	+2	6
9	Atlético CP	3	2	0	1	+1	6
10	Celoricense	3	2	0	1	-2	6
11	Ovarense	2	1	1	0	+6	4
12	Marinhense	2	1	1	0	+6	4
13	Espinho	2	1	1	0	+4	4
14	Moncarapachense	2	1	1	0	+3	4
15	Mortágua	2	1	1	0	+2	4
16	Peniche	2	1	0	1	+7	3
17	Benfica Castelo Branco	1	1	0	0	+6	3
18	Sacavenense	2	1	0	1	+5	3
19	Louletano	1	1	0	0	+5	3
20	Bragança	2	1	0	1	+4	3
21	Guimaraes	1	1	0	0	+4	3
22	Trofense	2	1	0	1	+3	3
23	Porto	1	1	0	0	+3	3
24	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+3	3
25	FC Serpa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
26	Salgueiros	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Gouveia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Naval 1893	2	1	0	1	+2	3
29	Rebordosa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	CD Olivais e Moscavide	1	1	0	0	+2	3
31	São João Ver	2	1	0	1	+1	3
32	Amarante	2	1	0	1	+1	3
33	Academico Viseu	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Lusitânia Lourosa	2	1	0	1	+1	3
35	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Fafe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Resende	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Vila Meã	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Uniao Nogueirense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Correlhã	2	1	0	1	+0	3
41	Oriental Lisboa	2	1	0	1	+0	3
42	União Lamas	2	1	0	1	+0	3
43	Nazarenos	2	1	0	1	+0	3
44	Ançã	2	1	0	1	-1	3
45	SC Covilha	2	1	0	1	-1	3
46	AD Marco 09	2	1	0	1	-2	3
47	Vila Real	2	1	0	1	-3	3
48	Castrense	2	1	0	1	-4	3
49	AD Fornos Algodres	2	1	0	1	-5	3
50	União de Leiria	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Torreense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Portimonense B	1	0	1	0	+0	1
53	AVS	1	0	1	0	+0	1
54	Anadia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
55	Charneca Caparica	1	0	1	0	+0	1
56	Rebordelo	2	0	1	1	-2	1
57	1º Dezembro	2	0	1	1	-2	1
58	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Portimonense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Estoril	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Maria da Fonte	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Fazendense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Tirsense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	AR São Martinho	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Castro Daire	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Vitória de Sernache	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Carregal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Academica	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Vilaverdense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Florgrade	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Cinfães	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Monção	1	0	0	1	-2	0
73	Aparecida GO	1	0	0	1	-2	0
74	Chaves	1	0	0	1	-2	0
75	Paredes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
76	Machico	1	0	0	1	-2	0
77	Vidago	1	0	0	1	-2	0
78	Valenciano	1	0	0	1	-3	0
79	Lusitânia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
80	Portalegrense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
81	Sanjoanense	1	0	0	1	-4	0
82	Os Limianos	1	0	0	1	-4	0
83	Fayal	1	0	0	1	-5	0
84	Urzelinense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
85	Lajense	2	0	0	2	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lusitano Évora 1911	2	2	0	0	+8	6
2	Vila Meã	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Casa Pia	2	2	0	0	+6	6
4	Farense	2	2	0	0	+5	6
5	União de Leiria	2	2	0	0	+4	6
6	Famalicao	2	2	0	0	+4	6
7	Benfica	2	2	0	0	+4	6
8	Torreense	2	2	0	0	+3	6
9	1º Dezembro	2	2	0	0	+2	6
10	Leixoes	2	2	0	0	+2	6
11	Vianense	3	2	0	1	+1	6
12	Academico Viseu	2	1	1	0	+3	4
13	Oliveirense	2	1	1	0	+2	4
14	Anadia	2	1	1	0	+1	4
15	Os Marialvas	2	1	1	0	+1	4
16	AVS	1	1	0	0	+7	3
17	Atlético Malveira	2	1	0	1	+5	3
18	Lusitânia Lourosa	1	1	0	0	+5	3
19	Tondela	1	1	0	0	+4	3
20	Porto	1	1	0	0	+4	3
21	CD Olivais e Moscavide	2	1	0	1	+2	3
22	Felgueiras 1932	2	1	0	1	+2	3
23	O Elvas	2	1	0	1	+2	3
24	Nacional	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Chaves	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Vila Real	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Arouca	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Amarante	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Estoril	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Machico	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Portimonense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Sp Braga	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Fafe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Monção	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Guimaraes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Espinho	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	AD Marco 09	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Pacos Ferreira	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Mirandela	2	1	0	1	+0	3
41	Mortágua	2	1	0	1	-3	3
42	Brito	2	1	0	1	-4	3
43	Alverca	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Gouveia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	SC Covilha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Samora Correir	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Benfica Castelo Branco	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Penafiel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Olímpico do Montijo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Santa Clara	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Marinhense	2	0	1	1	-3	1
52	Rio Ave	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Oliveira Hospital	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Eléctrico	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Camacha	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Gil Vicente	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Alcochetense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Vizela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Lagoa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Louletano	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Juventude Évora	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Moreirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Feirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	FC Serpa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Quarteirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Vila Caíz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Amora	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Rebordosa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Ribeira Brava	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Uniao Nogueirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Mafra	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Celeirós	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	Sourense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Águias do Moradal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Pontassolense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
76	Salgueiros	1	0	0	1	-2	0
77	Beira-Mar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
78	Estrela	1	0	0	1	-2	0
79	Charneca Caparica	1	0	0	1	-2	0
80	Vinhais	1	0	0	1	-2	0
81	Leça	1	0	0	1	-2	0
82	União Santarém	1	0	0	1	-2	0
83	Portimonense B	1	0	0	1	-2	0
84	Resende	1	0	0	1	-2	0
85	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
86	UD da Serra	1	0	0	1	-2	0
87	Valpaços	1	0	0	1	-2	0
88	Sintrense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
89	Viana Alentejo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
90	Portel	1	0	0	1	-3	0
91	Fátima	1	0	0	1	-3	0
92	Académico do Fundão	1	0	0	1	-3	0
93	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	1	0	0	1	-4	0
94	Varzim	1	0	0	1	-4	0
95	Almodôvar	1	0	0	1	-4	0
96	AD Portomosense	1	0	0	1	-4	0
97	Operário	1	0	0	1	-5	0
98	Angrense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
99	Estrela Calheta	1	0	0	1	-6	0
100	SC Celoricense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
101	Mosteirense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
102	Rabo Peixe	1	0	0	1	-7	0
103	Ferreira Zêzere	1	0	0	1	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.