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OBOS-ligaen
Moss
T T U T U
2–1
Full-time
Brattvåg
S U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Moss Brattvåg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,2
4,0
Scored
0,8
2,3
Conceded
2,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+0,7
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 30/2 matches
Win Ø 62%
23%
100%
Points per game
0,9
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
70%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,5
Scored
1,4
2,0
Conceded
2,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lillestrom 30 25 5 0 +69 80
2 Start 30 16 7 7 +23 55
3 Aalesund 28 14 10 4 +25 52
4 Egersund 29 15 7 7 +14 52
5 Kongsvinger 29 14 9 6 +16 51
6 Lyn 30 14 5 11 +11 47
7 Ranheim 30 13 6 11 -2 45
8 Sogndal 30 12 7 11 +1 43
9 Odd 30 8 9 13 -13 33
10 hodd 30 8 9 13 -18 33
11 Stabaek 30 7 10 13 -8 31
12 Asane 30 7 10 13 -15 31
13 Raufoss 30 7 9 14 -13 30
14 Moss 30 7 7 16 -24 28
15 Mjondalen 30 6 7 17 -35 25
16 Skeid 30 2 9 19 -31 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Moss Brattvåg
3′
T. Flem 0–1
O. Stolan
1–1 J. Musbaudeen
M. Cassidy
16′
Half-time 1–1
A. Memedov 🔁
↦ L. Rossi
56′
K. Harrison 🟨
64′
H. Vold Krohg 🔁
↦ S. Gronli
74′
79′
🔁 S. Kamel
↦ T. Flem
82′
🔁 D. Bubahe
↦ R. Myers
86′
🔁 A. Nytoft
↦ A. Tveiten
2–1 N. Fuglestad
A. A. Engesvik
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Moss

1 M. E. Eriksen
2 M. Cassidy
3 K. Strande
4 K. Harrison
46 W. Kvale
21 S. Gronli
9 J. Musbaudeen
15 A. A. Engesvik
11 T. Jakobsen
47 L. Rossi
34 N. Fuglestad
Bench (9)
12 J. Sundling
5 E. Race
7 N. Alexandersson
8 H. Vold Krohg
17 P. Andersen
19 A. Memedov
24 M. Welinder
29 M. Mayonga
49 M. Afonso

Coach: Ole Martin Nesselquist

Brattvåg

1 K. Baskett
17 J. Norvik
5 O. Stolan
4 U. Syversen
16 R. Myers
6 F. Vinje
8 O. Solnordal
14 T. Flem
11 J. Galta
10 E. Dahle
7 A. Tveiten
Bench (7)
24 O. Hjelme Connor
12 E. Bjornevik
9 S. Kamel
21 D. Bubahe
18 S. Senior-Harvik
20 A. Nytoft
15 M. Hjelle

Coach: T. Pedersen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.