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Premiership

Referee: D Dickinson

Aberdeen

T T S U U

1–0

Full-time

Hearts

S S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aberdeen Hearts

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,2

3,0

Scored

0,7

2,3

Conceded

1,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+1,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Premiership · 11/12 matches

Win Ø 51%

27%

75%

Points per game

1,0

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

18%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

18%

50%

Average goals

1,8

3,3

Scored

0,7

2,4

Conceded

1,1

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+1,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,63 xG 2,81

40% Possession 60%

6 Shots 16

2 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

6 Corners 3

0 Offside 3

20 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aberdeen 8. · Hearts 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	12	9	3	0	+19	+3.5	30
2	Celtic	12	8	2	2	+13	+4.4	26
3	Hibernian	13	5	6	2	+9	+1.7	21
4	Rangers	12	5	6	1	+6	-1.3	21
5	Falkirk	13	5	4	4	-2	+1.5	19
6	Motherwell	12	4	6	2	+5	+3.2	18
7	Dundee United	12	3	5	4	-2	-1.6	14
8	Aberdeen	11	3	2	6	-4	-1.6	11
9	St Mirren	12	2	4	6	-8	-1.8	10
10	Kilmarnock	13	2	4	7	-11	-4.1	10
11	Dundee	13	2	3	8	-15	-6.1	9
12	Livingston	13	1	5	7	-10	+2.3	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	7	5	2	0	+12	+2.6	17
2	Celtic	6	5	1	0	+13	+4.1	16
3	Falkirk	7	2	4	1	+2	+1.8	10
4	Hibernian	6	2	3	1	+5	+2.0	9
5	Rangers	6	2	3	1	+1	+0.9	9
6	Motherwell	5	2	2	1	+3	+2.0	8
7	Dundee United	6	2	1	3	-2	-1.3	7
8	Dundee	6	2	1	3	-3	-1.6	7
9	St Mirren	7	1	3	3	-4	+0.0	6
10	Aberdeen	6	1	2	3	+0	-1.7	5
11	Kilmarnock	7	1	2	4	-5	-0.3	5
12	Livingston	5	1	1	3	-1	+2.7	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	5	4	1	0	+7	+0.9	13
2	Rangers	6	3	3	0	+5	-2.2	12
3	Hibernian	7	3	3	1	+4	-0.4	12
4	Motherwell	7	2	4	1	+2	+1.2	10
5	Celtic	6	3	1	2	+0	+0.3	10
6	Falkirk	6	3	0	3	-4	-0.4	9
7	Dundee United	6	1	4	1	+0	-0.3	7
8	Aberdeen	5	2	0	3	-4	+0.1	6
9	Kilmarnock	6	1	2	3	-6	-3.8	5
10	St Mirren	5	1	1	3	-4	-1.8	4
11	Livingston	8	0	4	4	-9	-0.4	4
12	Dundee	7	0	2	5	-12	-4.5	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.