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La Liga
Referee: Iosu Galech Apezteguia
Betis
T S S S U
1–1
Full-time
Girona
T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Betis Girona
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,8
3,5
Scored
2,2
1,8
Conceded
0,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 30%
42%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
50%
58%
Both score Ø 63%
67%
58%
Average goals
2,7
2,9
Scored
1,6
0,9
Conceded
1,1
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,42 xG 1,46
54% Possession 46%
23 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
8 Corners 0
1 Offside 4
10 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Betis 5. · Girona 18.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Barcelona 13 10 1 2 +21 +11.6 31
2 Real Madrid 12 10 1 1 +16 +14.5 31
3 Villarreal 13 9 2 2 +15 +7.9 29
4 Ath Madrid 12 7 4 1 +13 +10.7 25
5 Betis 12 5 5 2 +6 +5.6 20
6 Espanol 12 5 3 4 +0 +6.2 18
7 Getafe 12 5 2 5 -2 -3.8 17
8 Ath Bilbao 13 5 2 6 -5 +4.0 17
9 Sevilla 12 5 1 6 -1 -10.3 16
10 Sociedad 13 4 4 5 -1 +1.2 16
11 Celta 13 3 7 3 -2 -2.0 16
12 Vallecano 13 4 4 5 -2 +1.2 16
13 Elche 12 3 6 3 -1 -2.6 15
14 Alaves 13 4 3 6 -1 +1.7 15
15 Valencia 13 3 4 6 -9 -4.9 13
16 Mallorca 13 3 3 7 -7 -11.2 12
17 Osasuna 13 3 2 8 -6 -3.3 11
18 Girona 12 2 4 6 -13 -9.5 10
19 Levante 13 2 3 8 -8 -3.8 9
20 Oviedo 13 2 3 8 -13 -13.3 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Betis Girona
12′
🟨 Vitor Reis
20′
V. Vanat 0–1
B. Gil
Marc Bartra 🟨
33′
Half-time 0–1
A. Ruibal 🔁
↦ H. Bellerin
46′
S. Amrabat 🔁
↦ G. Lo Celso
46′
A. Ezzalzouli 🔁
↦ R. Riquelme
46′
Isco 🔁
↦ P. Fornals
60′
66′
🔁 J. Roca
↦ V. Tsygankov
66′
🔁 Y. Asprilla
↦ B. Gil
1–1 V. Gomez
Isco
75′
N. Deossa 🔁
↦ M. Roca
76′
79′
🟨 Hugo Rincón
80′
🟨 Azzedine Ounahi
82′
🔁 C. Stuani
↦ V. Vanat
82′
🔁 A. Ruiz
↦ A. Ounahi
Nelson Deossa 🟨
83′
Cucho Hernández 🟨
88′
88′
🟨 Paulo Gazzaniga
Antony ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
90′
Antony 🟥
91′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Betis

4-2-3-1
1 Alvaro Valles G
2 H. Bellerin D
5 M. Bartra D
4 Natan D
16 V. Gomez D
21 M. Roca M
8 P. Fornals M
7 Antony M
20 G. Lo Celso M
17 R. Riquelme M
19 Cucho Hernandez F
Bench (12)
22 Isco
24 A. Ruibal
11 C. Bakambu
23 J. Firpo
3 D. Llorente
14 S. Amrabat
10 A. Ezzalzouli
9 C. Avila
18 N. Deossa
13 Adrian
12 R. Rodriguez
52 P. Garcia

Coach: Manuel Luis Pellegrini Ripamonti

Girona

4-1-4-1
13 P. Gazzaniga G
2 H. Rincon D
4 A. Martinez D
12 Vitor Reis D
24 A. Moreno D
20 A. Witsel M
15 V. Tsygankov M
23 I. Martin M
18 A. Ounahi M
21 B. Gil M
19 V. Vanat F
Bench (10)
43 A. Andreev
3 J. Roca
28 G. Jordana
44 P. Ba
7 C. Stuani
1 D. Livakovic
22 J. E. Solis Romero
9 A. Ruiz
31 A. Salguero
10 Y. Asprilla

Coach: Miguel Ángel Sánchez Muñoz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,53
U ✓
4,35
B
5,46
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,60
U2,5 ✓
2,24
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Iosu Galech Apezteguia · 15 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
29,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.