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Serie B
Referee: G Mucera
Mantova
T S U T T
2–1
Full-time
Pescara
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mantova Pescara
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
2,2
3,5
Scored
0,8
0,7
Conceded
1,3
2,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-2,2
This season — Serie B · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
1,0
4,0
Scored
0,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
3,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

54% Possession 46%
15 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 5
2 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 24
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mantova 15. · Pescara 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Cesena 1 1 0 0 +2 3
2 Modena 1 1 0 0 +2 3
3 Carrarese 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Frosinone 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Reggiana 2 1 0 1 +1 3
6 Venezia 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Palermo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Monza 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Empoli 2 1 0 1 +0 3
10 Virtus Entella 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Juve Stabia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Catanzaro 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Sudtirol 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Bari 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Mantova 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Padova 1 0 0 1 -2 0
17 Pescara 1 0 0 1 -2 0
18 Sampdoria 1 0 0 1 -2 0
19 Spezia 1 0 0 1 -2 0
20 Avellino 1 0 0 1 -2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mantova Pescara
Nicolò Radaelli ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
28′
1–0 L. Mancuso
29′
Nicolò Radaelli 🟨
44′
Half-time 1–0
48′
🟨 Andrea Oliveri
Valerio Mantovani 🟨
51′
Leonardo Mancuso 🟨
52′
54′
M. Festa 2–0
own goal
Cristiano Bani 🟨
68′
D. Bragantini 🔁
↦ F. Galuppini
69′
D. Mensah 🔁
↦ N. Bonfanti
69′
75′
🔁 D. Giannini
↦ F. Pellacani
75′
🔁 D. Merola
↦ A. Di Nardo
Z. Majer 🔁
↦ D. Wieser
76′
C. Falletti 🔁
↦ L. Mancuso
84′
A. Fiori 🔁
↦ M. Caprini
84′
3–0 A. Fiori
C. Falletti
86′
89′
🔁 L. Berardi
↦ A. Oliveri
89′
🔁 A. Ferraris
↦ G. Olzer
89′
🔁 L. Meazzi
↦ L. Sgarbi
91′
🟨 Gabriele Corbo
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Mantova

4-4-2
1 M. Festa G
17 N. Radaelli D
3 V. Mantovani D
29 S. Cella D
6 C. Bani D
14 F. Galuppini M
21 S. Trimboli M
10 D. Wieser M
28 M. Caprini M
9 L. Mancuso F
99 N. Bonfanti F
Bench (12)
22 L. Andrenacci
27 A. Castellini
4 S. Mullen
53 T. Pittino
18 C. Falletti
20 G. Fedel
37 Z. Majer
36 F. Paoletti
30 D. Bragantini
11 A. Fiori
23 T. Marras
7 D. Mensah

Coach: Francesco Modesto

Pescara

3-4-3
1 S. Desplanches G
13 R. Brosco D
95 G. Corbo D
23 F. Pellacani D
14 L. Valzania M
8 M. Dagasso M
6 N. Squizzato M
33 A. Oliveri M
27 G. Olzer F
9 A. Di Nardo F
18 L. Sgarbi F
Bench (12)
22 I. Saio
35 D. Giannini
24 J. La Barba
36 L. Berardi
5 J. Brandes
20 L. Graziani
73 E. Kraja
21 A. Ferraris
3 G. Letizia
7 L. Meazzi
10 D. Merola
15 R. Tonin

Coach: Giorgio Gorgone

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,17
U
3,33
B
3,08
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,91
U2,5
1,79
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Mucera · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,38 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.