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La Liga
Referee: José María Sánchez Martínez
Real Madrid
S S S S S
2–1
Full-time
Mallorca
T T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Real Madrid Mallorca
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
2,2
0,8
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
2,0
0,5
Conceded
0,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
-1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

1,82 xG 0,72
58% Possession 42%
17 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 5
3 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Real Madrid 3. · Mallorca 18.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Villarreal 2 2 0 0 +7 +3.7 6
2 Barcelona 2 2 0 0 +4 +1.7 6
3 Real Madrid 2 2 0 0 +4 +3.5 6
4 Ath Bilbao 2 2 0 0 +2 +3.1 6
5 Getafe 3 2 0 1 +0 +0.4 6
6 Elche 3 1 2 0 +2 -2.3 5
7 Betis 3 1 2 0 +1 +1.5 5
8 Valencia 3 1 1 1 +2 +1.3 4
9 Espanol 2 1 1 0 +1 +0.9 4
10 Alaves 3 1 1 1 +0 -0.6 4
11 Vallecano 2 1 0 1 +1 +1.6 3
12 Sevilla 3 1 0 2 +0 -2.9 3
13 Osasuna 2 1 0 1 +0 -0.9 3
14 Oviedo 3 1 0 2 -4 -4.3 3
15 Sociedad 3 0 2 1 -1 -1.3 2
16 Ath Madrid 3 0 2 1 -1 +1.2 2
17 Celta 3 0 2 1 -2 -0.1 2
18 Mallorca 2 0 1 1 -3 -2.0 1
19 Levante 3 0 0 3 -4 -0.3 0
20 Girona 3 0 0 3 -9 -4.2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Real Madrid Mallorca
Kylian Mbappé ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
7′
18′
V. Muriqi 0–1
P. Torre
1–1 A. Guler
D. Huijsen
37′
2–1 Vinicius Junior
F. Valverde
38′
Half-time 2–1
Arda Güler ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
57′
64′
🔁 Samu Costa
↦ P. Torre
B. Diaz 🔁
↦ F. Mastantuono
66′
Dean Huijsen 🟨
67′
Rodrygo 🔁
↦ Vinicius Junior
72′
D. Carvajal 🔁
↦ T. Alexander-Arnold
72′
D. Ceballos 🔁
↦ A. Guler
72′
78′
🔁 A. Sanchez
↦ M. Morey Bauza
78′
🔁 J. Mojica
↦ T. Lato
87′
🔁 T. Asano
↦ M. Joseph
87′
🔁 J. Virgili
↦ M. Morlanes
Éder Militão 🟨
89′
G. Garcia 🔁
↦ K. Mbappe
95′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Real Madrid

4-2-3-1
1 T. Courtois G
12 T. Alexander-Arnold D
3 Eder Militao D
24 D. Huijsen D
18 A. Carreras D
8 F. Valverde M
14 A. Tchouameni M
30 F. Mastantuono M
15 A. Guler M
7 Vinicius Junior M
10 K. Mbappe F
Bench (12)
11 Rodrygo
4 D. Alaba
16 G. Garcia
2 D. Carvajal
17 R. Asencio
22 A. Rudiger
19 D. Ceballos
43 S. Mestre
21 B. Diaz
45 T. Pitarch
13 A. Lunin
20 F. Garcia

Coach: Xabier Alonso Olano

Mallorca

5-3-2
1 L. Roman G
2 M. Morey Bauza D
24 M. Valjent D
21 A. Raillo D
4 M. Kumbulla D
3 T. Lato D
10 S. Darder M
8 M. Morlanes M
20 P. Torre M
18 M. Joseph F
7 V. Muriqi F
Bench (12)
19 J. Llabres
11 T. Asano
5 O. Mascarell
9 A. Prats
31 L. Bergstrom
30 M. Domenech
29 J. Virgili
27 D. Lopez
14 D. Rodriguez
6 A. Sanchez
22 J. Mojica
12 Samu Costa

Coach: Jagoba Arrasate Elustondo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,18
U
6,96
B
14,97
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,53
U2,5
2,39
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

José María Sánchez Martínez · 115 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.