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La Liga

Referee: Adrian Cordero Vega

Barcelona

T S S S S

2–0

Full-time

Osasuna

T T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona Osasuna

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

4,3

3,2

Scored

2,8

1,7

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 16/15 matches

Win Ø 54%

81%

27%

Points per game

2,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

94%

33%

Both score Ø 58%

75%

40%

Average goals

4,2

2,1

Scored

2,9

0,9

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,7

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,41 xG 0,37

80% Possession 20%

24 Shots 3

7 Shots on target 2

7 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

14 Corners 1

2 Offside 6

5 Free kicks against 8

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Barcelona 1. · Osasuna 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	16	13	1	2	+27	+15.2	40
2	Real Madrid	16	11	3	2	+17	+20.6	36
3	Villarreal	15	11	2	2	+18	+8.8	35
4	Ath Madrid	17	10	4	3	+14	+8.7	34
5	Espanol	15	8	3	4	+3	+6.3	27
6	Betis	15	6	6	3	+6	+6.0	24
7	Ath Bilbao	16	7	2	7	-5	+4.7	23
8	Getafe	15	6	2	7	-4	-3.9	20
9	Elche	16	4	7	5	-1	-6.3	19
10	Celta	15	4	7	4	-1	-2.7	19
11	Alaves	15	5	3	7	-2	+1.3	18
12	Vallecano	15	4	5	6	-3	+1.1	17
13	Sevilla	15	5	2	8	-4	-11.2	17
14	Mallorca	16	4	5	7	-5	-9.2	17
15	Sociedad	16	4	4	8	-4	-0.0	16
16	Osasuna	15	4	3	8	-4	-3.1	15
17	Valencia	16	3	6	7	-10	-4.8	15
18	Girona	16	3	6	7	-15	-11.8	15
19	Oviedo	15	2	4	9	-15	-13.9	10
20	Levante	15	2	3	10	-12	-6.0	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	9	8	1	0	+15	+11.9	25
2	Barcelona	8	8	0	0	+21	+12.5	24
3	Villarreal	8	7	1	0	+16	+7.3	22
4	Espanol	9	6	1	2	+3	+3.2	19
5	Real Madrid	7	6	0	1	+9	+10.9	18
6	Elche	8	4	4	0	+7	+1.5	16
7	Ath Bilbao	9	5	1	3	+0	+6.5	16
8	Alaves	8	4	2	2	+3	+2.7	14
9	Betis	8	4	1	3	+3	+3.8	13
10	Osasuna	7	4	1	2	+3	+1.2	13
11	Mallorca	8	3	4	1	+1	-1.3	13
12	Valencia	8	3	3	2	+3	+4.4	12
13	Getafe	7	3	2	2	+2	-2.8	11
14	Sociedad	8	3	1	4	-1	+2.2	10
15	Girona	8	2	3	3	-6	-7.0	9
16	Vallecano	6	1	4	1	+0	+3.0	7
17	Sevilla	7	2	1	4	-2	-2.1	7
18	Oviedo	8	1	3	4	-8	-8.1	6
19	Celta	8	0	5	3	-5	+0.1	5
20	Levante	6	0	1	5	-10	-6.6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Real Madrid	9	5	3	1	+8	+9.8	18
2	Barcelona	8	5	1	2	+6	+2.6	16
3	Celta	7	4	2	1	+4	-2.8	14
4	Villarreal	7	4	1	2	+2	+1.5	13
5	Betis	7	2	5	0	+3	+2.2	11
6	Sevilla	8	3	1	4	-2	-9.1	10
7	Vallecano	9	3	1	5	-3	-2.0	10
8	Ath Madrid	8	2	3	3	-1	-3.2	9
9	Getafe	8	3	0	5	-6	-1.1	9
10	Espanol	6	2	2	2	+0	+3.1	8
11	Levante	9	2	2	5	-2	+0.6	8
12	Ath Bilbao	7	2	1	4	-5	-1.8	7
13	Sociedad	8	1	3	4	-3	-2.2	6
14	Girona	8	1	3	4	-9	-4.8	6
15	Alaves	7	1	1	5	-5	-1.5	4
16	Mallorca	8	1	1	6	-6	-7.9	4
17	Oviedo	7	1	1	5	-7	-5.7	4
18	Elche	8	0	3	5	-8	-7.7	3
19	Valencia	8	0	3	5	-13	-9.3	3
20	Osasuna	8	0	2	6	-7	-4.3	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.