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Championship
Referee: Stephen Martin
Coventry
S S S T U
1–0
Full-time
Bristol City
S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Coventry Bristol City
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,5
2,2
Scored
2,0
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Championship · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 53%
65%
40%
Points per game
2,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
70%
45%
Both score Ø 55%
60%
50%
Average goals
3,7
2,6
Scored
2,6
1,4
Conceded
1,1
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,11 xG 1,34
62% Possession 38%
21 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 8
7 Blocked shots 2
8 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 5
3 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Coventry 1. · Bristol City 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Coventry 20 13 5 2 +29 +20.2 44
2 Preston 21 9 8 4 +7 -4.7 35
3 Middlesbrough 18 10 5 3 +6 +3.7 35
4 Millwall 20 10 5 5 -2 +3.0 35
5 Ipswich 20 9 7 4 +15 +16.0 34
6 Stoke 21 10 3 8 +8 -3.9 33
7 Hull 19 9 4 6 +2 -10.2 31
8 QPR 20 9 4 7 -3 +3.4 31
9 Bristol City 20 8 6 6 +5 +2.7 30
10 Southampton 20 8 5 7 +5 +9.0 29
11 Birmingham 20 8 4 8 +4 +10.8 28
12 Watford 20 7 7 6 +2 +5.5 28
13 Leicester 20 7 7 6 +1 -4.3 28
14 West Brom 21 8 4 9 -3 +1.9 28
15 Wrexham 20 6 9 5 +1 -5.8 27
16 Derby 20 7 6 7 -2 -6.1 27
17 Sheffield United 21 7 2 12 -6 +6.4 23
18 Charlton 19 6 5 8 -6 -8.8 23
19 Swansea 21 6 5 10 -7 -8.8 23
20 Blackburn 19 6 4 9 -5 +6.3 22
21 Oxford 21 4 7 10 -8 -5.8 19
22 Norwich 21 4 5 12 -10 -9.1 17
23 Portsmouth 19 4 5 10 -11 -6.8 17
24 Sheffield Weds 19 1 6 12 -22 -14.5 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Coventry Bristol City
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 H. Roberts
↦ M. Sykes
Milan van Ewijk 🟨
57′
1–0 E. Mason-Clark
64′
67′
🟨 Neto Borges
70′
🟨 Haydon Roberts
73′
🟨 Anis Mehmeti
75′
🔁 S. Twine
↦ A. Mehmeti
E. Simms 🔁
↦ H. Wright
81′
85′
🔁 Y. Hirakawa
↦ C. Pring
85′
🔁 F. Mayulu
↦ E. Riis
J. Allen 🔁
↦ J. Rudoni
86′
J. Eccles 🔁
↦ V. Torp
86′
L. Woolfenden 🔁
↦ E. Mason-Clark
90′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Coventry

4-2-3-1
19 C. Rushworth G
27 M. van Ewijk D
4 B. Thomas D
15 L. Kitching D
3 J. Dasilva D
29 V. Torp M
6 M. Grimes M
7 T. Sakamoto M
5 J. Rudoni M
10 E. Mason-Clark M
11 H. Wright F
Bench (9)
13 B. Wilson
8 J. Allen
9 E. Simms
20 K. Kesler-Hayden
21 J. Bidwell
22 J. Latibeaudiere
26 L. Woolfenden
28 J. Eccles
54 K. Andrews

Coach: Frank Lampard

Bristol City

3-5-2
23 R. Vitek G
21 Neto Borges D
16 R. Dickie D
3 C. Pring D
17 M. Sykes M
12 J. Knight M
4 A. Randell M
11 A. Mehmeti M
2 R. McCrorie M
18 E. Riis F
30 S. Armstrong F
Bench (9)
1 M. O'Leary
7 Y. Hirakawa
9 F. Mayulu
10 S. Twine
24 H. Roberts
25 E. Yeboah
26 J. Stokes
27 H. Cornick
31 E. Morrison

Coach: Gerhard Struber

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,69
U
3,93
B
4,61
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,66
U2,5 ✓
2,13
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Stephen Martin · 60 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.