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Super League

Referee: J von Mandach

Zurich

T S U S S

2–2

Full-time

Winterthur

S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zurich Winterthur

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,0

3,7

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

1,5

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 29%

44%

13%

Points per game

1,4

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 82%

75%

88%

Both score Ø 66%

69%

63%

Average goals

3,3

4,0

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

1,8

2,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,16 xG 1,59

58% Possession 42%

19 Shots 13

5 Shots on target 6

4 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 2

0 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Zurich 7. · Winterthur 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	16	11	1	4	+13	-1.6	34
2	St. Gallen	16	9	1	6	+11	+1.0	28
3	Basel	16	8	3	5	+7	+11.5	27
4	Young Boys	16	7	5	4	+5	-0.9	26
5	Sion	16	6	6	4	+5	+5.5	24
6	Lugano	16	7	3	6	-1	-0.5	24
7	Zurich	16	7	2	7	-4	+2.8	23
8	Lausanne	16	5	5	6	+4	+6.3	20
9	Servette	16	5	4	7	-4	+1.3	19
10	Luzern	16	4	6	6	-1	-1.6	18
11	Grasshoppers	16	3	5	8	-11	-12.4	14
12	Winterthur	16	2	3	11	-24	-11.5	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	8	5	1	2	+7	-1.2	16
2	St. Gallen	9	5	0	4	+7	+4.4	15
3	Young Boys	7	4	2	1	+10	+5.9	14
4	Lausanne	9	4	2	3	+7	+7.5	14
5	Lugano	8	4	2	2	+3	+1.6	14
6	Basel	7	4	1	2	+7	+13.2	13
7	Zurich	8	4	0	4	-2	+3.3	12
8	Sion	8	3	2	3	+3	+0.3	11
9	Grasshoppers	8	2	3	3	+2	-4.0	9
10	Servette	8	2	3	3	-2	+0.8	9
11	Luzern	8	1	4	3	+2	+2.6	7
12	Winterthur	8	1	2	5	-5	-0.9	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	8	6	0	2	+6	-0.4	18
2	Basel	9	4	2	3	+0	-1.7	14
3	St. Gallen	7	4	1	2	+4	-3.4	13
4	Sion	8	3	4	1	+2	+5.2	13
5	Young Boys	9	3	3	3	-5	-6.7	12
6	Zurich	8	3	2	3	-2	-0.5	11
7	Luzern	8	3	2	3	-3	-4.2	11
8	Servette	8	3	1	4	-2	+0.5	10
9	Lugano	8	3	1	4	-4	-2.1	10
10	Lausanne	7	1	3	3	-3	-1.3	6
11	Grasshoppers	8	1	2	5	-13	-8.3	5
12	Winterthur	8	1	1	6	-19	-10.6	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.