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Serie B

Referee: F La Penna

Salernitana

T U U T T

4–1

Full-time

Carrarese

S U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salernitana Carrarese

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

2,5

1,3

Scored

0,5

0,8

Conceded

2,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

-1,5

+0,3

This season — Serie B · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 25%

21%

29%

Points per game

0,9

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 36%

43%

29%

Both score Ø 40%

50%

29%

Average goals

2,5

1,9

Scored

0,9

Conceded

1,6

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,6

-0,2

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

44% Possession 56%

20 Shots 16

10 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 6

5 Corners 3

2 Offside 5

12 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Salernitana 18. · Carrarese 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	15	10	4	1	+19	34
2	Spezia	15	8	6	1	+12	30
3	Pisa	15	8	5	2	+10	29
4	Cremonese	15	7	3	5	+6	24
5	Cesena	15	6	4	5	+3	22
6	Bari	15	4	9	2	+5	21
7	Palermo	15	5	6	4	+4	21
8	Cosenza	15	4	8	3	+0	20
9	Brescia	15	5	4	6	-2	19
10	Juve Stabia	15	4	7	4	-3	19
11	Mantova	15	4	6	5	-3	18
12	Catanzaro	15	2	11	2	+2	17
13	Sampdoria	15	4	5	6	-2	17
14	Modena	15	3	7	5	-1	16
15	Carrarese	14	4	4	6	-3	16
16	Reggiana	15	3	6	6	-4	15
17	Cittadella	15	3	5	7	-11	14
18	Salernitana	14	3	4	7	-9	13
19	Frosinone	15	2	7	6	-10	13
20	Sudtirol	15	4	1	10	-13	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Spezia	7	6	1	0	+9	19
2	Pisa	8	5	3	0	+9	18
3	Cesena	8	5	2	1	+6	17
4	Sassuolo	7	5	1	1	+10	16
5	Mantova	7	4	3	0	+4	15
6	Carrarese	7	3	3	1	+4	12
7	Catanzaro	8	2	5	1	+4	11
8	Modena	7	3	2	2	+3	11
9	Brescia	8	3	2	3	+1	11
10	Bari	8	2	5	1	+1	11
11	Cremonese	7	3	2	2	+0	11
12	Cosenza	8	2	4	2	-1	10
13	Palermo	7	2	3	2	+2	9
14	Reggiana	8	2	3	3	-1	9
15	Sampdoria	7	2	2	3	-1	8
16	Salernitana	7	2	2	3	-3	8
17	Frosinone	8	1	5	2	-3	8
18	Juve Stabia	7	2	2	3	-3	8
19	Sudtirol	8	2	1	5	-7	7
20	Cittadella	7	0	5	2	-3	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	8	5	3	0	+9	18
2	Cremonese	8	4	1	3	+6	13
3	Palermo	8	3	3	2	+2	12
4	Spezia	8	2	5	1	+3	11
5	Pisa	7	3	2	2	+1	11
6	Juve Stabia	8	2	5	1	+0	11
7	Bari	7	2	4	1	+4	10
8	Cosenza	7	2	4	1	+1	10
9	Sampdoria	8	2	3	3	-1	9
10	Cittadella	8	3	0	5	-8	9
11	Brescia	7	2	2	3	-3	8
12	Catanzaro	7	0	6	1	-2	6
13	Reggiana	7	1	3	3	-3	6
14	Sudtirol	7	2	0	5	-6	6
15	Cesena	7	1	2	4	-3	5
16	Modena	8	0	5	3	-4	5
17	Salernitana	7	1	2	4	-6	5
18	Frosinone	7	1	2	4	-7	5
19	Carrarese	7	1	1	5	-7	4
20	Mantova	8	0	3	5	-7	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.