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Premier League

Referee: J Gillett

Tottenham

U S S S T

1–2

Full-time

Newcastle

U S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tottenham Newcastle

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,3

Scored

1,2

1,8

Conceded

1,2

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,3

This season — Premier League · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 50%

64%

36%

Points per game

2,1

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 41%

45%

36%

Both score Ø 55%

55%

Average goals

3,1

2,5

Scored

2,0

1,6

Conceded

1,1

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,9

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

52% Possession 48%

17 Shots 13

5 Shots on target 5

8 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 7

3 Offside 4

12 Free kicks against 6

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Tottenham 3. · Newcastle 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Arsenal	11	9	1	1	+14	28
2	Man City	11	8	2	1	+25	26
3	Tottenham	11	7	2	2	+10	23
4	Chelsea	11	6	3	2	+5	21
5	Man United	11	6	2	3	+0	20
6	Newcastle	11	4	6	1	+9	18
7	Fulham	12	5	3	4	+0	18
8	Liverpool	11	4	4	3	+9	16
9	Brighton	11	4	3	4	+1	15
10	Brentford	12	3	5	4	-3	14
11	Everton	12	3	4	5	-1	13
12	Crystal Palace	11	3	4	4	-4	13
13	Bournemouth	11	3	4	4	-13	13
14	Aston Villa	12	3	3	6	-5	12
15	Southampton	12	3	3	6	-8	12
16	Leicester	12	3	2	7	-3	11
17	West Ham	11	3	2	6	-3	11
18	Leeds	11	2	3	6	-5	9
19	Wolves	12	2	3	7	-13	9
20	Nott'm Forest	12	2	3	7	-15	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	6	6	0	0	+21	18
2	Tottenham	5	5	0	0	+11	15
3	Arsenal	5	5	0	0	+7	15
4	Liverpool	6	4	2	0	+12	14
5	Newcastle	6	3	3	0	+7	12
6	Brentford	6	3	2	1	+6	11
7	Chelsea	5	3	2	0	+5	11
8	Fulham	6	3	2	1	+2	11
9	Man United	5	3	1	1	+4	10
10	Aston Villa	6	3	1	2	+3	10
11	Crystal Palace	6	3	1	2	+1	10
12	Leicester	6	2	2	2	+4	8
13	Brighton	5	2	2	1	+3	8
14	Leeds	6	2	2	2	+2	8
15	Everton	6	2	2	2	+2	8
16	Bournemouth	6	2	2	2	-1	8
17	Wolves	6	2	2	2	-5	8
18	West Ham	5	2	1	2	+0	7
19	Nott'm Forest	6	2	1	3	-2	7
20	Southampton	6	1	3	2	-1	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Arsenal	6	4	1	1	+7	13
2	Chelsea	6	3	1	2	+0	10
3	Man United	6	3	1	2	-4	10
4	Man City	5	2	2	1	+4	8
5	Tottenham	6	2	2	2	-1	8
6	Brighton	6	2	1	3	-2	7
7	Fulham	6	2	1	3	-2	7
8	Newcastle	5	1	3	1	+2	6
9	Southampton	6	2	0	4	-7	6
10	Everton	6	1	2	3	-3	5
11	Bournemouth	5	1	2	2	-12	5
12	West Ham	6	1	1	4	-3	4
13	Crystal Palace	5	0	3	2	-5	3
14	Leicester	6	1	0	5	-7	3
15	Brentford	6	0	3	3	-9	3
16	Liverpool	5	0	2	3	-3	2
17	Aston Villa	6	0	2	4	-8	2
18	Nott'm Forest	6	0	2	4	-13	2
19	Leeds	5	0	1	4	-7	1
20	Wolves	6	0	1	5	-8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.