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2. Bundesliga
Referee: R Braun
Heidenheim
U U S T T
3–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heidenheim Greuther Furth
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
2,2
3,3
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 25%
42%
8%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
58%
75%
Both score Ø 71%
50%
92%
Average goals
2,3
3,3
Scored
1,4
1,4
Conceded
0,9
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

40% Possession 60%
13 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 3
14 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Heidenheim 5. · Greuther Furth 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Darmstadt 13 8 4 1 +10 28
2 Paderborn 13 8 2 3 +20 26
3 Hamburg 12 8 1 3 +7 25
4 Hannover 13 6 3 4 +5 21
5 Heidenheim 12 5 5 2 +6 20
6 Holstein Kiel 13 5 5 3 +0 20
7 Kaiserslautern 13 4 7 2 +2 19
8 Regensburg 13 5 3 5 -4 18
9 Fortuna Dusseldorf 12 5 2 5 +5 17
10 Karlsruhe 12 5 2 5 +4 17
11 Braunschweig 13 4 4 5 -6 16
12 St Pauli 13 3 5 5 -1 14
13 Nurnberg 13 4 2 7 -9 14
14 Hansa Rostock 13 4 2 7 -9 14
15 Sandhausen 13 3 3 7 -6 12
16 Bielefeld 13 3 2 8 -7 11
17 Greuther Furth 12 1 7 4 -5 10
18 Magdeburg 12 3 1 8 -12 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Heidenheim Greuther Furth
1–0 P. Mainka
J. Beste
9′
2–0 T. Kleindienst
33′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 O. Haddadi
↦ J. Green
46′
🔁 A. Sieb
↦ T. Tillman
52′
B. Hrgota 2–1
55′
🟨 Tobias Raschl
3–1 J. Beste
56′
A. Geipl 🔁
↦ A. Beck
70′
N. Theuerkauf 🔁
↦ J. Beste
70′
M. Rittmüller 🔁
↦ M. Busch
70′
72′
🔁 J. Dudziak
↦ T. Raschl
S. Schimmer 🔁
↦ T. Kleindienst
78′
K. Sessa 🔁
↦ C. Kühlwetter
78′
82′
🟨 Armindo Sieb
Andreas Geipl 🟨
83′
84′
🔁 M. Meyerhöfer
↦ S. Asta
84′
🔁 D. Abiama
↦ R. Ache
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Heidenheim

4-1-4-1
1 K. Müller G
2 M. Busch D
6 P. Mainka D
4 T. Siersleben D
19 J. Föhrenbach D
33 L. Maloney M
24 C. Kühlwetter M
11 D. Thomalla M
21 A. Beck M
37 J. Beste M
10 T. Kleindienst F
Bench (9)
8 A. Geipl
30 N. Theuerkauf
18 M. Rittmüller
9 S. Schimmer
16 K. Sessa
22 V. Eicher
17 F. Pick
20 D. Burnić
27 T. Keller

Coach: F. Schmidt

Greuther Furth

25 L. Schaffran G
2 S. Asta D
4 D. Michalski D
22 S. Griesbeck D
24 M. John D
13 M. Christiansen M
20 T. Raschl M
21 T. Tillman M
10 B. Hrgota M
37 J. Green M
39 R. Ache F
Bench (9)
5 O. Haddadi
30 A. Sieb
28 J. Dudziak
18 M. Meyerhöfer
11 D. Abiama
1 A. Linde
27 L. Itter
23 G. Jung
9 Afimico Pululu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,05
U
3,53
B
3,45
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,77
U2,5
2,04
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Braun · 47 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.