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Eredivisie
Referee: E van de Graaf
Volendam
U T T U S
1–3
Full-time
Heerenveen
T U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Volendam Heerenveen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,8
2,3
Scored
1,8
0,8
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,7
This season — Eredivisie · 10/9 matches
Win Ø 16%
10%
22%
Points per game
0,6
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
60%
33%
Both score Ø 46%
70%
22%
Average goals
3,9
1,7
Scored
1,1
0,8
Conceded
2,8
0,9
Goal diff per game
-1,7
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

49% Possession 51%
12 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 5
1 Offside 4
7 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Volendam 18. · Heerenveen 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 11 9 1 1 +28 28
2 PSV Eindhoven 11 8 0 3 +19 24
3 Feyenoord 11 7 3 1 +15 24
4 AZ Alkmaar 11 7 2 2 +9 23
5 Twente 10 7 1 2 +13 22
6 Sparta Rotterdam 10 5 2 3 +5 17
7 Waalwijk 11 3 5 3 +3 14
8 Excelsior 11 4 1 6 -14 13
9 For Sittard 11 3 3 5 -5 12
10 Utrecht 10 3 3 4 -6 12
11 Nijmegen 11 1 8 2 +0 11
12 Heerenveen 9 2 5 2 -1 11
13 Vitesse 11 3 2 6 -9 11
14 Groningen 11 3 2 6 -10 11
15 Go Ahead Eagles 11 2 4 5 -5 10
16 Cambuur 11 2 2 7 -10 8
17 FC Emmen 11 1 3 7 -15 6
18 Volendam 10 1 3 6 -17 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Volendam Heerenveen
8′
🟨 Thom Haye
Robert Mühren ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
22′
24′
S. van Hooijdonk 0–1
1–1 R. Mühren
C. Eiting
43′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 R. Al Hajj
↦ T. Halilović
46′
🔁 A. Tahiri
↦ S. van Ottele
50′
🟨 Simon Olsson
Benaissa Benamar 🟨
52′
58′
🟨 Paweł Bochniewicz
B. Ould-Chikh 🔁
↦ G. Oristanio
62′
I. Nazih 🔁
↦ W. Ould-Chikh
62′
B. Plat 🔁
↦ B. Benamar
67′
Daryl van Mieghem 🟨
71′
L. Zeefuik 🔁
↦ D. van Mieghem
77′
J. Blom 🔁
↦ I. El Kadiri
77′
85′
M. Köhlert 1–2
T. Haye
87′
A. Sarr 1–3
S. van Hooijdonk
90′
🔁 R. Kaib
↦ A. Sarr
90′
🔁 H. Ali
↦ S. Olsson
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Volendam

4-3-3
1 F. Stanković G
6 B. Benamar D
31 X. Mbuyamba D
4 D. Mirani D
5 D. Murkin D
33 W. Ould-Chikh M
10 G. Oristanio M
8 C. Eiting M
7 D. van Mieghem F
21 R. Mühren F
34 I. El Kadiri F
Bench (11)
11 B. Ould-Chikh
16 I. Nazih
3 B. Plat
25 L. Zeefuik
36 J. Blom
20 K. van Oevelen
15 D. James
37 J. Antonioli
22 B. Lauwers
9 H. Veerman
28 J. Flint

Coach: W. Jonk

Heerenveen

3-4-1-2
44 A. Noppert G
4 S. van Beek D
6 S. van Ottele D
5 P. Bochniewicz D
27 M. van Ewijk M
33 T. Haye M
10 T. Halilović M
7 M. Köhlert M
19 S. Olsson F
17 S. van Hooijdonk F
9 A. Sarr F
Bench (9)
22 R. Al Hajj
26 A. Tahiri
13 R. Kaib
15 H. Ali
3 J. van Aken
8 A. Timossi Andersson
23 J. Bekkema
29 A. Colassin
1 X. Mous

Coach: K. van Wonderen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,20
U
3,61
B ✓
2,13
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,68
U2,5
2,17
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

E van de Graaf · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.