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Super League
Referee: A Gamaris
Ionikos
T T T S T
1–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ionikos Asteras Tripolis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
2,0
2,3
Scored
0,2
1,0
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,7
-0,3
This season — Super League · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 31%
31%
31%
Both score Ø 33%
34%
31%
Average goals
2,2
2,0
Scored
0,6
0,7
Conceded
1,6
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%
12 Shots 5
2 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
10 Corners 4
3 Offside 3
15 Free kicks against 19
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ionikos 14. · Asteras Tripolis 11. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Panathinaikos 29 21 5 3 +28 68
2 AEK 29 21 3 5 +42 66
3 PAOK 30 18 10 2 +31 64
4 Olympiakos 29 18 8 3 +42 62
5 Volos NFC 29 12 6 11 -11 42
6 Aris Thessalonikis 27 12 4 11 +13 40
7 Aris 27 12 4 11 +13 40
8 Atromitos 30 8 10 12 -3 34
9 Panetolikos 30 8 8 14 -14 32
10 OFI Crete 30 7 10 13 -13 31
11 Asteras Tripolis 29 5 13 11 -15 28
12 Lamia 30 5 11 14 -32 26
13 Giannina 30 4 11 15 -26 23
14 Ionikos 29 5 6 18 -28 21
15 Levadeiakos 30 3 11 16 -27 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ionikos Asteras Tripolis
0–1 David Carmona ⚽
own goal
10′
33′
🟨 Jerónimo Barrales
Bandiougou Fadiga 🟨
40′
Half-time 0–1
54′
🔁 J. Bartolo
↦ Adrián Riera
55′
🟨 Dani Santafé
68′
🔁 E. Zukanović
↦ Pepe Castaño
68′
🔁 Léo Tilica
↦ Dani Santafé
73′
🔁 I. Demydenko
↦ Sito
74′
🔁 M. Iglesias
↦ O. Adefunyibomi
Hugo Sousa 🔁
↦ B. Fadiga
78′
K. Woolery 🔁
↦ Z. Machach
86′
R. Bouhenna 🔁
↦ A. Romao
91′
C. Eleftheriadis 🔁
↦ V. Mantzis
91′
Georgios Valerianos 🟨
93′
94′
🟨 Pichu Atienza
Georgios Mygas 🟨
95′
95′
🟨 Walter Iglesias
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Ionikos

4-2-3-1
94 L. Choutesiotis G
22 G. Migas D
24 A. Romao D
16 D. Chygrynskiy D
15 G. Valerianos D
66 E. Šakić M
87 Cañas M
8 Z. Machach M
75 B. Fadiga M
92 Sebá M
99 V. Mantzis F
Bench (9)
3 Hugo Sousa
11 K. Woolery
29 R. Bouhenna
91 C. Eleftheriadis
4 K. Tsirigotis
26 Jerson Cabral
27 D. Manos
5 R. Chibsah
1 B. Allain

Coach: M. Grigoriou

Asteras Tripolis

4-2-3-1
99 A. Tsiftsis G
12 David Carmona D
18 Pichu Atienza D
19 Pepe Castaño D
3 C. Tasoulis D
14 Dani Santafé M
69 O. Adefunyibomi M
23 Adrián Riera M
20 F. Bertoglio M
40 Sito M
9 J. Barrales F
Bench (9)
73 J. Bartolo
87 E. Zukanović
7 Léo Tilica
54 I. Demydenko
17 M. Iglesias
97 G. Kosteas
25 M. Gardawski
2 Rubén García
1 N. Papadopoulos

Coach: I. Metaxas

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,18
U
3,03
B
3,57
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
–
O2,5
2,61
U2,5 ✓
1,46
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

Referee

A Gamaris · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.