Gamealyst.com

← Match Finder

Championship

Referee: J Smith

Luton

S U S S S

2–0

Full-time

Watford

T U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Luton Watford

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

1,5

2,0

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

0,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,3

This season — Championship · 35/38 matches

Win Ø 43%

49%

37%

Points per game

1,7

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 36%

34%

37%

Both score Ø 41%

40%

42%

Average goals

2,1

2,2

Scored

1,2

Conceded

0,9

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%

13 Shots 2

6 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

9 Corners 3

1 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Luton 4. · Watford 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Burnley	38	24	12	2	+45	84
2	Sheffield United	37	21	7	9	+25	70
3	Middlesbrough	37	20	7	10	+28	67
4	Luton	35	17	10	8	+11	61
5	Blackburn	37	19	4	14	+1	61
6	Millwall	38	17	9	12	+8	60
7	Norwich	38	16	9	13	+11	57
8	West Brom	37	15	10	12	+8	55
9	Watford	38	14	13	11	+5	55
10	Coventry	36	14	11	11	+9	53
11	Preston	38	14	11	13	-9	53
12	Sunderland	37	14	10	13	+7	52
13	Stoke	38	13	9	16	+3	48
14	Bristol City	38	12	12	14	-1	48
15	Hull	38	12	11	15	-10	47
16	Swansea	38	12	10	16	-6	46
17	Birmingham	38	12	9	17	-8	45
18	Reading	38	13	6	19	-18	45
19	QPR	38	11	9	18	-21	42
20	Rotherham	37	9	13	15	-10	40
21	Cardiff	37	10	9	18	-13	39
22	Huddersfield	38	9	9	20	-21	36
23	Blackpool	38	8	11	19	-18	35
24	Wigan	38	7	13	18	-26	34

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Burnley	20	14	6	0	+30	48
2	Blackburn	18	13	1	4	+11	40
3	Middlesbrough	19	11	6	2	+22	39
4	Sheffield United	18	11	3	4	+18	36
5	Millwall	19	10	5	4	+12	35
6	West Brom	19	10	5	4	+11	35
7	Reading	19	10	4	5	+7	34
8	Watford	19	9	6	4	+11	33
9	Bristol City	19	8	5	6	+6	29
10	Coventry	17	8	5	4	+6	29
11	Norwich	19	8	4	7	+5	28
12	Luton	18	7	7	4	+5	28
13	Swansea	19	8	3	8	+2	27
14	Rotherham	18	7	5	6	+7	26
15	Hull	19	7	4	8	-5	25
16	Cardiff	19	6	6	7	-1	24
17	Stoke	19	6	5	8	+2	23
18	Birmingham	19	6	5	8	+1	23
19	Sunderland	18	6	5	7	-1	23
20	Huddersfield	19	6	5	8	-4	23
21	QPR	19	6	4	9	-7	22
22	Blackpool	19	5	6	8	-2	21
23	Preston	19	5	6	8	-8	21
24	Wigan	19	3	6	10	-18	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Burnley	18	10	6	2	+15	36
2	Sheffield United	19	10	4	5	+7	34
3	Luton	17	10	3	4	+6	33
4	Preston	19	9	5	5	-1	32
5	Sunderland	19	8	5	6	+8	29
6	Norwich	19	8	5	6	+6	29
7	Middlesbrough	18	9	1	8	+6	28
8	Stoke	19	7	4	8	+1	25
9	Millwall	19	7	4	8	-4	25
10	Coventry	19	6	6	7	+3	24
11	Hull	19	5	7	7	-5	22
12	Watford	19	5	7	7	-6	22
13	Birmingham	19	6	4	9	-9	22
14	Blackburn	19	6	3	10	-10	21
15	West Brom	18	5	5	8	-3	20
16	QPR	19	5	5	9	-14	20
17	Bristol City	19	4	7	8	-7	19
18	Swansea	19	4	7	8	-8	19
19	Wigan	19	4	7	8	-8	19
20	Cardiff	18	4	3	11	-12	15
21	Blackpool	19	3	5	11	-16	14
22	Rotherham	19	2	8	9	-17	14
23	Huddersfield	19	3	4	12	-17	13
24	Reading	19	3	2	14	-25	11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.