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Eredivisie
Referee: M Perez
Excelsior
T T T T S
0–0
Full-time
Twente
S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Excelsior Twente
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
3,8
2,7
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
3,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-2,2
+0,3
This season — Eredivisie · 26/23 matches
Win Ø 42%
27%
57%
Points per game
0,9
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
58%
48%
Both score Ø 41%
46%
35%
Average goals
3,3
2,4
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
2,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,4
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

34% Possession 66%
6 Shots 26
1 Shots on target 8
2 Blocked shots 7
8 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 10
0 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 8
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Excelsior 15. · Twente 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 26 18 7 1 +34 61
2 Ajax 26 16 7 3 +44 55
3 AZ Alkmaar 27 16 6 5 +22 54
4 PSV Eindhoven 26 16 5 5 +36 53
5 Twente 23 13 6 4 +23 45
6 Sparta Rotterdam 23 13 6 4 +19 45
7 Nijmegen 26 7 13 6 +9 34
8 Waalwijk 25 8 8 9 +0 32
9 Utrecht 24 8 8 8 -4 32
10 Heerenveen 25 8 7 10 -6 31
11 Go Ahead Eagles 25 7 8 10 -8 29
12 For Sittard 26 8 5 13 -14 29
13 Volendam 26 7 5 14 -25 26
14 Vitesse 26 5 9 12 -16 24
15 Excelsior 26 7 2 17 -36 23
16 FC Emmen 26 4 9 13 -22 21
17 Groningen 26 4 5 17 -27 17
18 Cambuur 26 4 4 18 -29 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Excelsior Twente
Half-time 0–0
60′
🟨 Michel Vlap
Nikolas Agrafiotis 🟨
63′
65′
🔁 S. Steijn
↦ A. Salah-Eddine
78′
🔁 D. Rots
↦ V. Misidjan
M. van Duinen 🔁
↦ N. Agrafiotis
80′
N. Tjoe-A-On 🔁
↦ A. Zagré
80′
Y. Ayoub 🔁
↦ P. Koopmeiners
81′
N. Naujoks 🔁
↦ K. Goudmijn
81′
Mike van Duinen 🟨
82′
R. Kharchouch 🔁
↦ L. Lamprou
90′
Noah Naujoks 🟨
94′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Excelsior

4-2-3-1
1 S. van Gassel G
2 S. Horemans D
16 S. Nieuwpoort D
4 R. El Yaakoubi D
12 A. Zagré D
23 P. Koopmeiners M
33 J. Baas M
14 C. Driouech M
8 K. Goudmijn M
22 L. Lamprou M
7 N. Agrafiotis F
Bench (10)
29 M. van Duinen
28 N. Tjoe-A-On
21 Y. Ayoub
15 N. Naujoks
9 R. Kharchouch
18 N. Alblas
24 N. Markelo
6 J. Eijgenraam
3 K. Pierie
34 S. Seymor

Coach: M. Dijkhuizen

Twente

4-3-3
1 L. Unnerstall G
20 J. Brenet D
38 M. Bruns D
4 Julio Pleguezuelo D
5 G. Smal D
18 M. Vlap M
8 R. Zerrouki M
17 A. Salah-Eddine M
7 V. Černý F
9 R. van Wolfswinkel F
10 V. Misidjan F
Bench (10)
14 S. Steijn
11 D. Rots
36 J. Mesbahi
41 G. Besselink
26 D. Cleonise
12 A. Sampsted
16 I. El Maach
22 P. Tytoń
6 W. Brama
39 M. Rots

Coach: R. Jans

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,65
U ✓
4,37
B
1,54
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,60
U2,5 ✓
2,31
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Perez · 31 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,39 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.