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Championship
Referee: S Martin
Bristol City
T U S T T
1–1
Full-time
Reading
T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bristol City Reading
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,7
2,7
Scored
0,3
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,0
This season — Championship · 38/38 matches
Win Ø 33%
32%
34%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
37%
55%
Both score Ø 50%
53%
47%
Average goals
2,4
2,6
Scored
1,2
1,1
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

67% Possession 33%
18 Shots 7
8 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 6
10 Corners 4
4 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 8
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bristol City 14. · Reading 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Burnley 38 24 12 2 +45 84
2 Sheffield United 37 21 7 9 +25 70
3 Middlesbrough 37 20 7 10 +28 67
4 Luton 36 18 10 8 +13 64
5 Blackburn 37 19 4 14 +1 61
6 Millwall 38 17 9 12 +8 60
7 Norwich 38 16 9 13 +11 57
8 Preston 39 15 11 13 -7 56
9 West Brom 37 15 10 12 +8 55
10 Watford 39 14 13 12 +3 55
11 Coventry 36 14 11 11 +9 53
12 Sunderland 37 14 10 13 +7 52
13 Stoke 38 13 9 16 +3 48
14 Bristol City 38 12 12 14 -1 48
15 Hull 38 12 11 15 -10 47
16 Swansea 38 12 10 16 -6 46
17 Birmingham 38 12 9 17 -8 45
18 Reading 38 13 6 19 -18 45
19 QPR 38 11 9 18 -21 42
20 Rotherham 37 9 13 15 -10 40
21 Cardiff 37 10 9 18 -13 39
22 Huddersfield 38 9 9 20 -21 36
23 Blackpool 39 8 11 20 -20 35
24 Wigan 38 7 13 18 -26 34

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bristol City Reading
4′
🟨 Thomas Holmes
Omar Taylor-Clarke 🟨
23′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 T. Conway
47′
A. King 🔁
↦ O. Taylor-Clarke
59′
H. Cornick 🔁
↦ T. Conway
60′
61′
🔁 Lucas João
↦ N. Guinness-Walker
62′
🔁 O. Azeez
↦ T. Fornah
Anis Mehmeti 🟨
65′
Matty James 🟨
71′
72′
Lucas João 1–1
A. Carroll
76′
🟨 Andy Yiadom
81′
🔁 K. Abrefa
↦ A. Mbengue
S. Bell 🔁
↦ M. James
87′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Bristol City

4-2-3-1
12 M. O’Leary G
19 G. Tanner D
26 Z. Vyner D
16 C. Pring D
3 J. Dasilva D
6 M. James M
35 O. Taylor-Clarke M
14 A. Weimann M
15 T. Conway M
11 A. Mehmeti M
21 N. Wells F
Bench (7)
10 A. King
9 H. Cornick
20 S. Bell
39 C. Wood
2 K. Wilson
13 H. Wiles-Richards
40 H. Leeson

Coach: N. Pearson

Reading

3-5-2
1 J. Lumley G
27 A. Mbengue D
3 T. Holmes D
24 N. Sarr D
17 A. Yiadom M
20 C. Casadei M
8 J. Hendrick M
19 T. Fornah M
18 N. Guinness-Walker M
11 Y. Meïté F
2 A. Carroll F
Bench (7)
9 Lucas João
15 O. Azeez
30 K. Abrefa
35 K. Ehibhatiomhan
32 N. Abbey
46 J. Senga-Ngoyi
21 D. Bouzanis

Coach: P. Ince

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,82
U ✓
3,42
B
4,72
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,26
U2,5 ✓
1,63
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Martin · 160 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.