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Bundesliga
Referee: D Aytekin
Schalke 04
U S S U U
0–3
Full-time
Leverkusen
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Schalke 04 Leverkusen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,7
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
1,8
3,2
Scored
1,2
2,3
Conceded
0,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Bundesliga · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 30%
16%
44%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
52%
68%
Both score Ø 52%
48%
56%
Average goals
2,6
3,4
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
1,8
1,6
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,12 xG 2,74
48% Possession 52%
12 Shots 18
3 Shots on target 10
4 Blocked shots 2
6 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 5
3 Offside 1
20 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Schalke 04 17. · Leverkusen 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Dortmund 25 17 2 6 +24 +7.8 53
2 Bayern Munich 25 15 7 3 +45 +4.8 52
3 Union Berlin 25 14 6 5 +10 -1.2 48
4 Freiburg 25 13 7 5 +4 -1.7 46
5 RB Leipzig 25 13 6 6 +19 +7.3 45
6 Ein Frankfurt 26 11 8 7 +10 -0.1 41
7 Wolfsburg 25 10 8 7 +12 +4.2 38
8 Leverkusen 25 11 4 10 +5 +6.8 37
9 Mainz 25 10 7 8 +4 -0.4 37
10 M'gladbach 25 8 7 10 -4 -1.0 31
11 Werder Bremen 25 9 4 12 -9 -5.4 31
12 Augsburg 25 8 4 13 -13 -3.5 28
13 FC Koln 25 6 9 10 -11 -1.0 27
14 Bochum 26 8 2 16 -29 -6.1 26
15 Hoffenheim 25 6 4 15 -12 -3.5 22
16 Hertha 25 5 6 14 -18 -6.0 21
17 Schalke 04 25 4 9 12 -24 -0.1 21
18 Stuttgart 25 4 8 13 -13 -0.9 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Schalke 04 Leverkusen
39′
🟨 Exequiel Palacios
Half-time 0–0
É. Balanta 🔁
↦ D. Drexler
46′
50′
J. Frimpong 0–1
M. Diaby
Henning Matriciani 🟨
51′
Éder Balanta 🟨
56′
61′
F. Wirtz 0–2
A. Adli
S. Terodde 🔁
↦ M. Frey
62′
65′
🔁 K. Demirbay
↦ E. Palacios
66′
🔁 S. Azmoun
↦ A. Adli
T. Skarke 🔁
↦ T. Krauß
71′
T. Mohr 🔁
↦ R. Zalazar
82′
82′
🔁 D. Sinkgraven
↦ K. Demirbay
82′
🔁 C. Hudson-Odoi
↦ J. Frimpong
83′
🔁 M. Bakker
↦ P. Hincapié
92′
S. Azmoun 0–3
M. Diaby
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Schalke 04

4-2-3-1
1 R. Fährmann G
27 C. Brunner D
4 M. Yoshida D
3 L. Greiml D
41 H. Matriciani D
30 A. Král M
6 T. Krauß M
24 D. Drexler M
10 R. Zalazar M
11 M. Bülter M
26 M. Frey F
Bench (9)
33 É. Balanta
9 S. Terodde
20 T. Skarke
29 T. Mohr
35 M. Kamiński
39 J. Müller
23 M. Aydın
21 N. Tauer
13 A. Schwolow

Coach: T. Reis

Leverkusen

3-4-3
1 L. Hrádecký G
6 O. Kossounou D
4 J. Tah D
12 E. Tapsoba D
30 J. Frimpong M
25 E. Palacios M
8 R. Andrich M
3 P. Hincapié M
19 M. Diaby F
27 F. Wirtz F
21 A. Adli F
Bench (9)
10 K. Demirbay
9 S. Azmoun
22 D. Sinkgraven
17 C. Hudson-Odoi
5 M. Bakker
24 T. Fosu-Mensah
38 K. Bellarabi
18 N. Mbamba
28 P. Pentz

Coach: Xabi Alonso

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,95
U
3,70
B ✓
1,92
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,86
U2,5
1,95
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Aytekin · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.