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Ligue 2

Referee: G Paradis

Caen

S S U T S

2–1

Full-time

Dijon

U U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Caen Dijon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

2,3

1,7

Scored

1,3

0,5

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,7

This season — Ligue 2 · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 30%

39%

21%

Points per game

1,5

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

43%

46%

Both score Ø 49%

54%

43%

Average goals

2,3

2,1

Scored

1,2

0,9

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

65% Possession 35%

14 Shots 7

5 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 4

2 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Caen 6. · Dijon 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Le Havre	28	15	12	1	+25	57
2	Bordeaux	28	14	8	6	+16	50
3	Sochaux	28	14	7	7	+21	49
4	Metz	28	13	9	6	+17	48
5	Bastia	28	13	6	9	+2	45
6	Caen	28	11	10	7	+5	43
7	Grenoble	28	11	8	9	+3	41
8	Quevilly Rouen	28	10	9	9	+1	39
9	St Etienne	29	10	9	10	+0	39
10	Guingamp	28	10	8	10	-1	38
11	Paris FC	28	10	7	11	-1	37
12	Amiens	28	10	7	11	-5	37
13	Annecy	28	8	9	11	-4	33
14	Valenciennes	28	7	12	9	-6	33
15	Pau FC	28	8	9	11	-9	33
16	Rodez	28	7	10	11	-8	31
17	Laval	28	9	4	15	-10	31
18	Dijon	28	6	8	14	-10	26
19	Nimes	28	7	5	16	-15	26
20	Niort	29	7	5	17	-21	26

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Le Havre	14	9	5	0	+14	32
2	Sochaux	15	9	4	2	+18	31
3	Caen	14	8	5	1	+12	29
4	Bordeaux	14	8	4	2	+10	28
5	Bastia	14	8	2	4	+6	26
6	St Etienne	15	7	4	4	+4	25
7	Grenoble	14	7	4	3	+4	25
8	Metz	14	6	6	2	+7	24
9	Valenciennes	14	5	9	0	+6	24
10	Quevilly Rouen	14	5	6	3	+5	21
11	Amiens	14	6	3	5	+1	21
12	Annecy	14	6	3	5	+0	21
13	Dijon	15	5	5	5	+0	20
14	Nimes	13	6	1	6	-1	19
15	Laval	14	5	2	7	-1	17
16	Pau FC	13	4	5	4	-3	17
17	Niort	14	5	2	7	-6	17
18	Paris FC	14	4	3	7	-2	15
19	Guingamp	14	4	3	7	-3	15
20	Rodez	14	2	5	7	-10	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Le Havre	14	6	7	1	+11	25
2	Metz	14	7	3	4	+10	24
3	Guingamp	14	6	5	3	+2	23
4	Bordeaux	14	6	4	4	+6	22
5	Paris FC	14	6	4	4	+1	22
6	Rodez	14	5	5	4	+2	20
7	Bastia	14	5	4	5	-4	19
8	Sochaux	13	5	3	5	+3	18
9	Quevilly Rouen	14	5	3	6	-4	18
10	Grenoble	14	4	4	6	-1	16
11	Amiens	14	4	4	6	-6	16
12	Pau FC	15	4	4	7	-6	16
13	St Etienne	14	3	5	6	-4	14
14	Caen	14	3	5	6	-7	14
15	Laval	14	4	2	8	-9	14
16	Annecy	14	2	6	6	-4	12
17	Valenciennes	14	2	3	9	-12	9
18	Niort	15	2	3	10	-15	9
19	Nimes	15	1	4	10	-14	7
20	Dijon	13	1	3	9	-10	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.