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Superligaen

Referee: M Redder

Viborg

S S S U T

1–1

Full-time

Aarhus

S U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Viborg Aarhus

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

4,3

3,0

Scored

2,8

2,2

Conceded

1,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 40%

30%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

80%

60%

Both score Ø 70%

80%

60%

Average goals

4,1

3,4

Scored

2,1

2,4

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+1,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%

13 Shots 13

3 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 6

0 Offside 2

5 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Viborg 9. · Aarhus 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	10	7	3	0	+11	+6.0	24
2	FC Copenhagen	10	6	2	2	+8	+7.7	20
3	Aarhus	10	5	4	1	+14	+1.6	19
4	Silkeborg	10	5	3	2	+6	+0.3	18
5	Nordsjaelland	11	5	3	3	+5	+5.2	18
6	Brondby	10	4	3	3	+3	+5.7	15
7	Randers FC	11	3	6	2	+1	+0.2	15
8	Aalborg	11	4	1	6	-10	-8.3	13
9	Viborg	10	3	3	4	+1	-2.4	12
10	Lyngby	11	1	5	5	-6	-2.7	8
11	Sonderjyske	11	2	2	7	-14	-8.5	8
12	Vejle	11	0	1	10	-19	-4.7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	5	5	0	0	+8	+5.2	15
2	Aarhus	6	3	3	0	+10	+1.5	12
3	Nordsjaelland	6	3	3	0	+7	+2.8	12
4	FC Copenhagen	5	3	2	0	+5	+4.7	11
5	Silkeborg	5	3	1	1	+3	+1.3	10
6	Aalborg	5	3	0	2	-3	-2.9	9
7	Randers FC	6	2	2	2	+0	+0.4	8
8	Brondby	4	2	1	1	+2	+2.0	7
9	Viborg	4	2	1	1	+1	-2.7	7
10	Sonderjyske	5	1	2	2	-4	-3.4	5
11	Lyngby	6	1	2	3	-4	-0.7	5
12	Vejle	6	0	1	5	-10	-1.3	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	5	2	3	0	+3	+0.8	9
2	FC Copenhagen	5	3	0	2	+3	+2.9	9
3	Silkeborg	5	2	2	1	+3	-0.9	8
4	Brondby	6	2	2	2	+1	+3.7	8
5	Aarhus	4	2	1	1	+4	+0.1	7
6	Randers FC	5	1	4	0	+1	-0.2	7
7	Nordsjaelland	5	2	0	3	-2	+2.4	6
8	Viborg	6	1	2	3	+0	+0.3	5
9	Aalborg	6	1	1	4	-7	-5.4	4
10	Lyngby	5	0	3	2	-2	-2.1	3
11	Sonderjyske	6	1	0	5	-10	-5.2	3
12	Vejle	5	0	0	5	-9	-3.4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.