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Super League
Referee: D Siebert
Panathinaikos
U U S T U
0–0
Full-time
Olympiakos
T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panathinaikos Olympiakos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 6/7 matches
Win Ø 45%
33%
57%
Points per game
1,3
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
33%
57%
Both score Ø 38%
33%
43%
Average goals
2,0
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,6
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%
16 Shots 19
4 Shots on target 7
6 Blocked shots 6
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 7
2 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Panathinaikos 10. · Olympiakos 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 AEK 7 4 2 1 +9 14
2 Aris Thessalonikis 7 4 2 1 +4 14
3 Aris 7 4 2 1 +4 14
4 OFI Crete 8 4 2 2 +1 14
5 Olympiakos 7 4 1 2 +6 13
6 PAOK 7 4 1 2 +5 13
7 Panetolikos 7 3 2 2 +2 11
8 Asteras Tripolis 8 2 4 2 +1 10
9 Atromitos 8 2 3 3 -1 9
10 Panathinaikos 6 2 2 2 +0 8
11 Volos NFC 7 2 1 4 -7 7
12 Athens Kallithea 7 0 5 2 -3 5
13 Lamia 8 1 2 5 -9 5
14 Levadeiakos 6 0 4 2 -4 4
15 Panserraikos 8 1 1 6 -8 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Panathinaikos Olympiakos
Zeca 🟨
-5′
20′
🟨 Panagiotis Retsos
A. Šporar 🔁
↦ F. Ioannidis
44′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 C. Kostoulas
↦ Sérgio Oliveira
62′
🔁 K. Velde
↦ Gelson Martins
62′
🔁 Dani García
↦ Costinha
N. Maksimović 🔁
↦ A. Gnezda Čerin
65′
F. Pellistri 🔁
↦ F. Đuričić
66′
Filip Mladenović 🟨
72′
73′
🟨 Dani García
G. Kotsiras 🔁
↦ G. Baldock
75′
A. Ounahi 🔁
↦ A. Bakasetas
76′
80′
🟨 Santiago Hezze
86′
🔁 G. Masouras
↦ C. Mouzakitis
Andraž Šporar 🟨
88′
93′
🟨 Rodinei
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Panathinaikos

4-2-3-1
1 Y. Lodygin G
32 G. Baldock D
21 T. Jedvaj D
15 S. Ingason D
25 F. Mladenović D
55 Willian Arão M
16 A. Gnezda Čerin M
10 Tetê M
11 A. Bakasetas M
31 F. Đuričić M
7 F. Ioannidis F
Bench (9)
9 A. Šporar
20 N. Maksimović
28 F. Pellistri
27 G. Kotsiras
8 A. Ounahi
81 K. Lilo
17 D. Mancini
5 B. Schenkeveld
6 Zeca

Coach: D. Alonso

Olympiakos

4-2-3-1
88 K. Tzolakis G
20 Costinha D
45 P. Retsos D
16 David Carmo D
3 F. Ortega D
32 S. Hezze M
96 C. Mouzakitis M
23 Rodinei M
27 Sérgio Oliveira M
10 Gelson Martins M
9 A. El Kaabi F
Bench (9)
84 C. Kostoulas
11 K. Velde
14 Dani García
19 G. Masouras
17 R. Yaremchuk
8 M. Stamenić
1 A. Paschalakis
74 A. Ntoi
5 L. Pirola

Coach: José Luis Mendilibar

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,69
U ✓
3,11
B
2,63
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,99
U2,5 ✓
1,78
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Siebert · 158 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.