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Superligaen

Referee: J Burchardt

Sonderjyske

S T S S T

1–4

Full-time

Nordsjaelland

T U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sonderjyske Nordsjaelland

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

4,0

4,7

Scored

2,3

2,8

Conceded

1,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 30%

20%

40%

Points per game

0,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

60%

70%

Both score Ø 65%

50%

80%

Average goals

2,9

3,8

Scored

0,9

2,0

Conceded

2,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

-1,1

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

22% Possession 78%

7 Shots 23

2 Shots on target 10

3 Blocked shots 3

6 Goalkeeper saves 1

1 Corners 9

2 Offside 0

8 Free kicks against 10

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sonderjyske 10. · Nordsjaelland 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	10	7	3	0	+11	+6.0	24
2	FC Copenhagen	10	6	2	2	+8	+7.7	20
3	Aarhus	10	5	4	1	+14	+1.6	19
4	Silkeborg	10	5	3	2	+6	+0.3	18
5	Brondby	10	4	3	3	+3	+5.7	15
6	Nordsjaelland	10	4	3	3	+2	+5.2	15
7	Randers FC	10	3	5	2	+1	+0.2	14
8	Aalborg	11	4	1	6	-10	-8.3	13
9	Viborg	10	3	3	4	+1	-2.4	12
10	Sonderjyske	10	2	2	6	-11	-8.5	8
11	Lyngby	10	1	4	5	-6	-2.7	7
12	Vejle	11	0	1	10	-19	-4.7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	5	5	0	0	+8	+5.2	15
2	Aarhus	6	3	3	0	+10	+1.5	12
3	Nordsjaelland	6	3	3	0	+7	+2.8	12
4	FC Copenhagen	5	3	2	0	+5	+4.7	11
5	Silkeborg	5	3	1	1	+3	+1.3	10
6	Aalborg	5	3	0	2	-3	-2.9	9
7	Brondby	4	2	1	1	+2	+2.0	7
8	Viborg	4	2	1	1	+1	-2.7	7
9	Randers FC	5	2	1	2	+0	+0.4	7
10	Sonderjyske	4	1	2	1	-1	-3.4	5
11	Lyngby	6	1	2	3	-4	-0.7	5
12	Vejle	6	0	1	5	-10	-1.3	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	5	2	3	0	+3	+0.8	9
2	FC Copenhagen	5	3	0	2	+3	+2.9	9
3	Silkeborg	5	2	2	1	+3	-0.9	8
4	Brondby	6	2	2	2	+1	+3.7	8
5	Aarhus	4	2	1	1	+4	+0.1	7
6	Randers FC	5	1	4	0	+1	-0.2	7
7	Viborg	6	1	2	3	+0	+0.3	5
8	Aalborg	6	1	1	4	-7	-5.4	4
9	Nordsjaelland	4	1	0	3	-5	+2.4	3
10	Sonderjyske	6	1	0	5	-10	-5.2	3
11	Lyngby	4	0	2	2	-2	-2.1	2
12	Vejle	5	0	0	5	-9	-3.4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.